JotCast | 2017 World Series Game 7 Live Blog

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Dave Cameron

9:47

There's one

Cody

9:47

Rough night for LA

Jmaas14

9:47

Dodgers missing a lot of opportunities

Joe

9:47

2 LOB per inning

kevinthecomic

9:47

dodgers have established stranding runners

Clay(2000 lbs) Kershaw

9:48

Nothing like watching your team beat itself.

BDF

9:48

"Hinch won't be aggressive"--why is that rational, given that you still want to maximize runs scored? Just on the off chance that you go extra innings and will have burned a pitcher?

Carson Cistulli

9:48

One note about runners left on base: broadcasters frequently cite it as a "bad" stat, but it's also important to note that teams with the highest LOB numbers are also getting the most runners on base, which correlates pretty strongly with scoring runs.

Dave Cameron

9:48

With a lead, easier to talk yourself into managing to protect a lead rather than build a bigger one

The Hamburglar

9:49

Dodgers have no business winning this game with the way Darvish pitched and their hitters have executed with men on base

He Hate Me

9:49

Establish the ball in the dirt.

Dave Cameron

9:49

You were against the execution of two line drives right at people?

BDF

9:49

"easier to talk yourself into"--totally agree, but do you think that's rational?

Dave Cameron

9:49

Nope

I've been saying all postseason that managers should trust their depth arms

Matt Aptekar

9:50

Dave don't ruin his narrative

Lance McCullers

9:50

Don't you have to weigh the cost of a single PA against the pulling the pitcher out? If Peacock can give 50 pitches, that's another 2-3 innings of work, and that possibly does more to prevent runs over the value of a single PA.

Carson Cistulli

9:50

Yeah, Dave, stop ruining narratives.

Dave Cameron

9:50

No, it doesn't.

The gap in expected run prevention between Peacock and someone like Harris or Devenski is small.

Carson Cistulli

9:50

Around the office, Dave just goes around to everyone's desk and ruins their narratives.

Not. Cool. Dave.

Dave Cameron

9:50

The gap in expected runs scored between a pitcher and a hitter is huge.

Brandon M

9:51

Dave "Narrative Ruiner" Cameron

Zac

9:51

Dave hates motivational posters.

Pat

9:51

whats a reasonable expectation for how long Kershaw can go? If hes on does he pitch straight till Jansen?

Lance McCullers

9:51

Can you give a number for a single PA?

Carson Cistulli

9:51

Dave! I'm interested in the answer to Pat's question.

Dave.

Dave?

Answer it, Dave.

Dave?

Dave Cameron

9:51

You would need to have something like a true talent difference of 4 ERA points to offset the difference in hitting between a pitcher and a hitter.

9:51

Dave!

Dave Cameron

9:51

So a 4 ERA guy to an 8 ERA

Brandon M

9:52

Are you there Dave?

Dave Cameron

9:52

Pat, I'd say 4 innings max

Also, Carson, you're fired.

Carson Cistulli

9:52

I've been expecting that for eight years.

Cale

9:52

Kershaw said he can go 27 innings tonight if need be. Think he’ll do it?

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