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August Fagerstrom FanGraphs Chat -- 4/26/16
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august fagerstrom
12:45
whoa!
12:46
this is weird. Hadn't been paying attention to Jones this year. I've been calling his decline for three years now and he keeps proving me wrong. This is... weird. The scariest part is definitely the ground balls. He's been living off his power and power alone for some time now. If he doesn't elevate the ball, he could be a disaster
rick taylor
12:46
have you tried sammy's grill yet?
august fagerstrom
12:46
hi zack. i went on saturday for an omelette. it was okay. sammy isn't very friendly
Ben
12:47
Erick Aybar is.....really bad. Is this a case of a guy who just doesn't want to be where he is? He was at least a decent player with the Angels.
august fagerstrom
12:47
He was pretty bad last year, too
Not much margin for error when you start with his 2015. He's 32
Alex
12:48
Tyler White got off to a hot start and people were believing. Now he's been ice cold. Who is the real Tyler White?
august fagerstrom
12:49
Probably right around his projection still, which is what we should've viewed him as this whole time. I think people misinterpreted my follow-up post on him as me saying he was going to somehow continue what he'd been doing. The entire premise of that post was that after 15 games or whatever, even if he went right back to his rest-of-season projection (which we should almost always expect) for the rest of the year, he'd banked enough production in the first two weeks to finish the year with a ~125 wRC+. That's where I drew the comps from
12:50
Before the season, we should've expected him to go forward as a slightly above average hitter. During his hot streak, we should've expected him to go forward as a more-slightly above average hitter. And now, we should expect him to go forward as a slightly above-average hitter
Dug
12:51
Thoughts on Odubel Herrera? It looks like he has improved from an already impressive rookie season.
august fagerstrom
12:51
I can't wrap my mind around the walk rate. The swing%, zone% and contact% don't make any sense for a jump from 5% walks to 20% walks. I mean it's obviously more encouraging than not, but I can't seem to make any sense of it
Think Jeff was planning on writing about this soon, too. Always count on Jeff.
Jimmers
12:52
Is Noah Syndergaard over rated? (serious question)
august fagerstrom
12:52
if you think he's the best pitcher in baseball then yeah
The Man with the Plan
12:52
JOEY GALLO POWER
august fagerstrom
12:52
The Rangers should probably trade a hitter or two
Sirras
12:53
What is the worst nickname anybody has ever given you and why is it July?
august fagerstrom
12:53
probably "Gus"
just a gross sounding name
(apologies to all the Gus' out there)
Erik
12:53
When someone like Harper or Trout debuts so young and so good, do they still follow the standard aging curve? Do we expect them to keep getting better until age 27-29, or have they already been as good as they'll ever be?
august fagerstrom
12:53
They can't get much better
Jimmers
12:53
Has Mike Trout become "boringly" good? Because we feel we have seen the best, and we feel Harper has a higher ceiling?
august fagerstrom
12:53
I think so, yeah
Jimmers
12:53
Can we please give Barry Bonds like 10 AB this year?
august fagerstrom
12:54
I seeeeeeriously want this to happen, and every time I hear something new about Bonds, I think the likelihood increases
Like I actually think there's a 2% chance he suits up this year. Which is up from 0% over the last ~seven years
How could he *not* get the itch, being around the game every day?
12:55
Sam Miller said on Effectively Wild the other day that an anonymous Marlins player was confident he could hit like .320 with 20 bombs. Obviously that's hyperbole, but I'm 100% confident Bonds could still be an above-average hitter against MLB pitching. He already has an organization that wants him, which was his problem back in 2008
12:56
I literally want this to happen more than anything else in baseball
The problem is the National League. He could only be a pinch-hitter
I hope the Marlins season just goes in the tank and this happens. Bonds and Ichiro playing on the same team in 2016. Could you imagine
Matt Damon
12:56
MATT. DAMON.
august fagerstrom
12:56
i love your dedication to doing this
Eric
12:57
What's the deal with Pujols? Last year he had a .217 BABIP, this year he's at just .136. Given the small sample, I'm sure that will increase, but is he really a low-.200's BABIP hitter now?
august fagerstrom
12:58
Yeah, he is. He puts the ball in the air often, he pulls his grounders, and he's slow as hell
Obviously .136 isn't going to continue, but .230 or .240 could be his true-talent level
Snowflake
12:59
When is a triple play not fun?
august fagerstrom
12:59
I derive very little pleasure from the 5-4-3 variety
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