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August Fagerstrom FanGraphs Chat -- 9/13/16
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august fagerstrom
1:46
which Jeff already wrote about
Jon Hunts
1:46
How does rWAR account for defense?
august fagerstrom
1:46
DRS instead of UZR
and then BP uses FRAA
Steve
1:47
are EW and FG Audio really competing podcasts? I thought one was largely about baseball and one was largely Carson with some baseball.
august fagerstrom
1:47
"competing" maybe isn't the right word, but there's obviously a major overlap in readership between FG and BP
friendly competition
Dylan
1:47
Re: Cubs defense. I've heard some in Chicago media harping on defense saying it's even more important in the Playoffs because "defense doesn't slump." Is there something to that or is defense as susceptible to hot streaks/slumps as other areas?
august fagerstrom
1:47
I strongly believe that to be a damaging misnomer
arc
1:48
who are your FOV (fun over value) MVPs?
august fagerstrom
1:48
Cueto
Hamilton
Puig
Philip Christy
1:48
If Mussina and Schilling can't get in, hard to see Hamels or Sabathia getting in. Even Kevin Brown was better.
august fagerstrom
1:49
probably true, unfortunately
I also think voters just got their mind blown by anyone who played during the steroid era and just completely lost control over their ability to properly evaluate them
might change for current guys
Brown had a poor media reputation, too, which greatly hurt his chances
1:50
because on performance alone, if he didn't get in, then the future pitcher HoF pool would be like 15 deep
Billy Heywood
1:51
(for JD15) Baseball Prospectus has a team's Guillen# in their sortable stat leaderboards, that's the percentage of runs scored via the dinger
august fagerstrom
1:51
there you go, earlier chatter!
rob deer
1:51
how much longer does kluber last as an elite guy?
eno says his skanky fastball is gonna doom him to an early rut
august fagerstrom
1:51
already started adjusting accordingly with more curves: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/corey-kluber-jose-fernandez-and-maximizing-a-weapon/
at 30, I'd guess he has at least another couple years at ace-level before he starts his decline
Fire Kevin Cash
1:52
Longoria's changed his approach at the plate this year to sell out for power a little more and is having one of his best offensive seasons. How does this change his HOF chances?
august fagerstrom
1:52
he's probably in that similar Pedroia/Kinsler/Cano fringe-level trajectory where a smooth decline would get him in and a sharp decline would rule it out completely
1:53
if he plays 7 more years, losing 0.5 WAR each year starting at 4.0 next year, he'll retire at 37 with 65 career WAR
puts him right on the bubble
1:54
extend that decline out a little bit and get to 70 and he's probably in. make the decline more dramatic and he ends up at 55-60 and he gets trapped in the Hall of Good
the latter is always more likely than the former, but the former is certainly a possibility
Phil
1:55
2001 one of your favorite movies too?
august fagerstrom
1:55
it is actually my favorite movie of all time, and the main reason why I have such a strong connection with The Blue Danube
well done, Phil
Ben
1:55
John Coppollela does Q&A sessions with fans on twitter & snapchat. Does any other GM in the league do that, or is Coppy just awesome?
august fagerstrom
1:55
Coppy definitely seems pretty awesome
Aladdin Sane
1:56
When comparing Seager and Russell, I think it's more fair to say Seager has better contact skills than better plate discipline. They have essentially identical O-Swing% (and, interestingly, O-contact%), but Russell's Z-contact and overall contact are much lower.
august fagerstrom
1:56
this is fair
Jordan
1:56
80 grade minor tool: Jayson Werth rounding bases as far as possible, still getting back by using his slide stop
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