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Brad Johnson RotoGraphs Chat ? 8/16/16
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Brad Johnson
2:07
if you solicit offers, it devalues him
Guest
2:08
Context cause this is league specific. In my league we get 6 keepers for pretty big rosters, keepers are divided by tiers, you can get 1 tier 1, 2 tier 2's and 3 tier 3 (tier's are decided by draft position and set as long as you keep them) You can move guys up but not down. Right now I have Nolan Arenado as my tier 1 locked in so that's not changing. Tier 2 I have to choose between Daniel Murphy, Yelich and Posey. It's a points league, based loosely on the linear run estimator weights, and Murphy and Yelich are drastically ahead of Posey, and I'm worried about Posey being a 30 year old catcher who has been knicked up this year. Is catcher so bad I should let go of one of those two or take my chances drafting another one next year.
Brad Johnson
2:08
reading....
2:09
So the thing with a lw points format is it's really about positional replacement level
just making up some numbers here - let's say Posey is 500 points, Murph/Yelich are 800 points. If C replacement is 250 and 2B/OF replacement is 700, then Posey is the more valuable keeper
2:10
so it's up to you to figure that out.
Additionally, I'm not sure I'd bet on a second career season from Murphy. Regress his numbers a healthy amount towards career norms before making a decision
JD15
2:11
Thanks for answering. I only had a free minute to input my questions so sorry for bombarding.
Brad Johnson
2:11
apology accepted
George is Curious
2:11
You mentioned Jharel Cotton. What do you expect from him both in terms of this year and next?
Brad Johnson
2:12
Honestly, I'm just seeing rumbles that he could be called up. My last deep dive on him was a month ago, I forget exactly what I concluded
the general feeling was meh
I think there was something in the scouting report that made me doubt he'd transition well the MLB
Defectation
2:13
I'm in a 15 tm roto (redraft) and I need pitching. Is Jake Lamb too much to give up for Quintana? I've got Gurriel on the bench. Should I try to move for Salazar instead. Might be able to swap Kepler for him.
Brad Johnson
2:13
Lamb is a steep price when the back up could be terrible or barely play
or good
Gurriel's just a complete wild card right now
Salazar's a tough buy because of the elbow
might throw 2 IP on thursday and be done for the year
Deke
2:14
Any hope for Arismendy Alcantara to succeed as an above-avg player in OAK, or has that ship sailed? Thanks!
Brad Johnson
2:14
sailed and over the horizon
Obviously, sometimes these busts suddenly sail back to shore (to stick with the metaphor)
that would require a change in talent
Jamie Sayer
2:14
Has Matt Shoemaker regressed back into his pumpkin form? I know Scioscia said his stuff was just as good, but is he still a decent option ROS?
Brad Johnson
2:15
Honestly, I haven't taken a close look at him lately. I'd need to watch a couple of his starts. The splitter can come and go so I'll admit I'm concerned.
Jeff
2:15
Dynasty league, have Conforto, G Polanco, Piscotty and Winker but can only keep two. Looking for batting average more than power. Who should I keep?
Brad Johnson
2:15
Polanco/Piscotty
Other Matt
2:15
Looking at keepers - is it nuts to think Didi is the better asset than Profar?
Brad Johnson
2:15
No, it's not - at least in the near term
2:16
Profar is much younger
much higher ceiling if he can stay healthy
Mark
2:16
Hernan Perez going to keep up his current pace?
Brad Johnson
2:16
newp
2:17
He's a 85-90 wRC+ super utility guy with enough park-aided power and speed to be fantasy useful
but his current pace is quite a bit beyond that
Karl Cheez
2:18
Is Andrew Miller worth starting over Diaz now that it seems Miller is going to be used situationally in CLE?
Brad Johnson
2:18
you really can't start them both? Those are two of the top 5 RP RoS
Dungeon Master
2:18
Jonathan Schoop or Devon Travis for dynasty 2B?
Brad Johnson
2:18
Travis please
Baller McCheese
2:18
Curious as to how you see Taillon's value for 2017? In a "typical" league & non-auction draft, would he be top 75 player?
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