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Brad Johnson RotoGraphs Chat - 5/31/16
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Brad Johnson
1:46
Hey everyone, I'm running just a couple minutes behind. We'll get started soon.
1:53
Ok, let's rumble. I have much need calories to consume.
needed*
John Sterling
1:53
Hi Brad! 10 team 6x6 league OPS & QS being the added categories, was offered my Rich Hill and Oddball Herrera for his Jeff Samardzija, Adrian Gonzalez, and Colby Rasmus? Do I pull the trigger on this one or are Hill and Herrera for real?
Brad Johnson
1:55
Was this counting Hill's supposedly minor injury? It's tempting to take the more established guys to ensure a higher floor. With it being a fairly shallow league, it's always best to focus on the best player. Which, honestly, could be any of the five. I'm a big Herrera fan, but his supporting cast limits his ceiling
Hooha
1:55
do you think the Astros will call up Bregman or Reed this summer?
Brad Johnson
1:56
Very likely at least one makes the roster. Luis Valbuena's resurgence gives them some breathing room. If it continues. Reed's been dealing with an injury and only looks OK, Bregman is annihilating Double-A but has to learn a new position
I assume the position switch is also why Bregman is still in Double-A
gootchgootch
1:56
Eickoff a decent return for D. Travis in a 12-teamer with no MI spot (no one buying 2Bs in trade). Deep benches so 100-ish SP owned. I have Odor returning Saturday
Brad Johnson
1:56
Pretty light if you ask me. Even with the conditions you mentioned
Frank Abignale Jr
1:57
Heya, Brad! Sure you'll get a million of these, but just in case - what are your thoughts on Buxton RoS?
Brad Johnson
1:57
Might as well get this out of the way
the stat to watch is SwStr%
His only glaring issue at the plate is that he swings through everything at the MLB level. Doesn't happen in Triple-A
1:58
while the talent gap between the two levels is large, it's not THAT large. We should see the cracks a little more clearly in Triple-A if they were very serious
1:59
In other words, I think he'll eventually be the monster we all expect. Maybe not this year, but eventually
Boggs
1:59
Who is more likely to keep this up ROS? Steve Pearce or Adam Duvall?
Brad Johnson
1:59
Duvall is Evan Gattis at a ridiculously power friendly home park
Pearce is getting by with some crazy fluky numbers versus LHP
John
1:59
Was offered Heyward for Kluber - was I right to be insulted?
Brad Johnson
2:00
Smells fairish to me. I'm a little leery of both of them now, but I'll stick with the healthy one
I have them both on a H2H roster. Wish I could do something with Heyward
Aaron
2:01
Need pitching in a keeper league. Move Odor & Bregman for Carrasco, Panik, and Turner? Have Schoop at 2B, Macahdo, Villar, and Seager at SS.
Brad Johnson
2:01
The deal itself smells fine, especially once Carrasco is healthy and shows he's 100%. So if you can wait without the offer being pulled, you should
and I do think you can do better
2:02
Those are two monster keepers you're selling
The pair for a slightly acier ace should be in play
Josecanyousee
2:03
What sort of power hitter or pitching return could I expect for Jose Altuve?
Brad Johnson
2:03
You can target any player not named Kershaw, Harper, or Trout. Hell, add a second piece and target them anyway
Jack
2:04
Heyward or Odubel Herrera in 5x5 dynasty?
Brad Johnson
2:04
Ooh that's a tough one. I'd take Herrera RoS but probably still lean Heyward for the foreseeable future
2:05
I love the adjustments Herrera keeps making. I see him as a faster developing Michael Brantley
Alexei
2:05
Hi Brad! More of a Strategy question here. In an 8x5 H2H league how far is hitter value skewed from SPs? What type of hitter should a Jose Fernandez type get you?
Brad Johnson
2:06
The specifics matter, but you're looking at about 2X categories per hitter. Only a few relievers contribute to all five categories.
hitters are already more valuable than pitchers so you're looking somewhere between a 80/20 or 85/15 value split pre-draft.
2:07
That flattens post draft. Getting back to who to target, I'd still try to aim higher than reasonable for a Chris Davis or someone else between the 15th and 30th best bat.
Shawn
2:08
Thoughts on Harvey's start yesterday? Velocity seemed to be back up
Brad Johnson
2:08
I was finishing up a vacation so I'm a little out of touch on everything that's happened. What I've read was encouraging but I don't have anything to add
gootchgootch
2:08
Do you see a return to modest form coming for Keuchel? Last time out encouraging?
Brad Johnson
2:09
If he's hitting spots and getting low strike calls, he'll be fine. The issue was that the low strikes vanished. I'd look for the 2014 version going forward
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