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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 4/18/16
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Matt
12:14
Giles still have the Ks and a great xFIP. It's his FIP that's telling, because he's made only 1 (2?) appearance(s) WITHOUT giving up a HR. This is going to end, right?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:14
Yes
Bruce Springsteen
12:14
When do you think the Angels realize they aren't very good, and who might they be willing to move when that happens?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:14
They're not great on self-reflection.
Ben
12:14
Who hits more home runs this year: Bryce Harper or the Braves?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:14
Braves will int he end
Mark
12:15
So Dan, over under 1620 strike outs for the 2016 Toronto Blue Jays?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:15
Under. They're not going to strikeout 500 more times with essentially the same team
CardsGuy
12:15
Will Hazelbaker get a legitimate shot? The kid looks very skilled and should be allowed to have an o-fer before losing ab's.
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:16
They'll keep giving him ABs until he proves they shouldn't be. I still think he's a 4th OF
Trainman
12:16
It seems Byung-Ho Park is making small improvements. That home run on Saturday was.. Jaw dropping. I haven't watched many twins games, however I did catch a few of his ABs and it seems he's adjusting to MLB pitching slowly but surely. Do you see him having a tougher or easier transition than Kang from last year?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:17
One plus Kang had is he played positions where he could still be a contributor if his hitting wasn't good.
But I think he's fine
Trainman
12:18
Russell Martin is in a horrific slump to begin the season and he just looks like he's fishing at everything. Concern, or April?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:18
Again April
Jose Reyes
12:18
Will I have a starting job after my upcoming suspension? Will that job be in Colorado?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:18
Probably not in Colorado
E
12:19
I forget if you don't take pseudo-fantasy questions, apologies if you don't. I have Felix Hernandez in a dynasty league, in your opinion, should I be looking to move him as soon as possible, or given the dynasty format, is he more of a hold and wait and see if he gets it together?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:19
Wait and see.
Noel
12:19
Is it good or bad that every pitch from jake Peavy is slow and completey straight without exception? Think giants would be better rolling out Jennie finch over Peavy?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:19
Well, it's not ideal
Michael
12:20
Why would ZiPS project Steven Wright to have a higher ERA than FIP? Does it not know he throws knuckleballs?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:20
It does, but ZiPS just doesn't think he's all that great
12:21
It actually thinks from his minor league results he'd be undeperforming FIP even more if he wasn't a knuckleballer
12:24
It's not an automatic for a knuckleballer, see guys like Steve Sparks. There's sitll an element of proving it
Q-Ball
12:24
So the red-hot Cubs bats were cooled off this weekend by some really good pitching from the....Rockies?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:24
Baseball games are volatile
Stan
12:24
Are you concerned about the Mad Bum? Slow start, or signs of something worse?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:24
No
Josh
12:24
JJ Hoover was dropped in my 12 team mixed league. As awful as he is, he still needs to be owned, right? Do you see a closer change happening there sooner rather than later?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:24
He's worth rostering at least.
Jeff
12:25
Will Dan Straily be revived? I read about his increase in velocity and wonder if that can stick as a starter. The Reds have a few guys coming back so I wonder if he will get the chance to stick in the rotation, if he does they shouldnt shuttle him back and forth and ruin him. Make a decision and stick with it. What do you think they will do with him? Also, on the Reds, do you think Jumbo will get the chance to close if Hoover keeps giving up runs?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:26
Color me skeptical. His velocity still isn't great and his peripherals aren't better.
He may be a fine 4/5 guy, but he used to be that anyway.
Jeff
12:27
Small sample size, but it seems like John Jaso is really making the adjustment in a full-time role as a leadoff batter. Are you surprised by this? Also, if he continues to succeed, do you think it will inspire other teams to build lineups where the lead off guy isn't always a guy with plus speed?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:27
There's no adjustment that makes you a .400 BABIP guy. Jaso's successful in the role because of his usual John Jaso Things.
Outside of adventurous teams, there's just not a huge gain from lineup position, so it probably won't become mainstream
Nick Ahmed
12:28
Have I learned how to hit baseballs? If I have, wouldn't that make me really, super good?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:28
Encouraging, but don't order a cake yet.
Sam
12:28
Any recommendations for introductory stats books? Fantasy baseball has me intrigued. Thanks!
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