JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 7/11/16

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Dan Szymborski

11:59

Free of tiresome culture wars but not free of tiresome Dan Szymborski: The Dan© Szymborski© FanGraphs© Chat©.

Minty

12:00

Stolen bases can skewed in the low minors. Where do you think Moncada's power/speed will end up in the majors?

Dan Szymborski

12:00

Yeah, stolen bases do tend to go wacky in the low minors.

12:01

I expect him to still be a good SB player in the majors, but more in the 25-35 range when he does reach the majors. The power is interesting he does have the build that he should develop more.

Dan

12:01

Since AJ Reed is struggling, could you see the Astros calling up Bregman to slide in at 1st?

Dan Szymborski

12:01

12:02

Remember Springer's first 10 games or so in the majors? The Astros don't tend to panic.

Iheartprospects

12:03

What do you see Eloy Jiménez ceiling being?

Dan Szymborski

12:04

Pretty high if his plate discipline shakes out a little better. He probably has even more power than he's shown so far -- low level minors have a lot of gigantic pitchers' parks -- but he's still raw

Bill Heywood

12:05

Dave teased that for the first time, ZiPS 5 year projection liked someone better than Trout, but wouldn't tell who it is. It's gotta be Bartolo Colon, right? What does ZiPS say Bartolo Colon will look like in 5 years, and does it come with weight projections?

Dan Szymborski

12:06

That's 5th-year projection, not the whole 5-year period, just to be clear.

And I'll spoil it. It's Jose Vizcaino, obviously.

SORRY DAVE

Dr. Met

12:06

Thanks for halting your pikachu hunt to chat with us!

Dan Szymborski

12:06

I've mostly been watching the whole thing rather th an contributing!

12:07

I've got like two big projects going on and can't be galavanting around fighting giant crabs in bars quite yet

Bill Heywood

12:07

THE PEOPLE DEMAND A BARTOLO COLON 5 YEAR WEIGHT PROJECTION, MAKE IT HAPPEN ZiPS!

Dude Bro

12:07

Hey Dan, which character do you think is most overpowered in Overwatch RIGHT NOW THIS VERY SECOND?

Dan Szymborski

12:07

Lucio

Err Lúcio

Is that where the mark is?

Dan

12:07

From a sad Cubs fan, that Adam Warren ZiPS ain't looking as great as it was pre-season! :-(

Dan Szymborski

12:08

Yeah, recent events have not helped it

12:08

Better than 50% chance that Marcus Semien ends up with 30+ HRs?

Dan Szymborski

12:08

If we're talking over 50, I'd still take the under.

Josh Nelson

12:08

Let's say there was a skills challenge during the All Star break. What challenges would you actually like to watch?

Dan Szymborski

12:09

Footrace! Arm strength. Maybe some kind of weird precision hitting thing

Kevin

12:09

How does ZiPS feel about Andrew Benintendi? Steamer projects a 103 wRC+ for him right now.

Dan Szymborski

12:09

ZiPS likes him very much, but since Dave's going to be talking about him (or has already) I dont' want to spoil anything

Dude Bro

12:09

What do you see for Puig going forward? What does he need to fix at the plate to get back to '13-'14 Puig, which was a very good version of Puig.

Dan Szymborski

12:09

No clue whatsoever

Zach

12:09

Which of these pitchers would you pick to have the best 2nd half bounce back: Liriano, Kazmir, Samardzija, Chen, Corbin?

Dan Szymborski

12:10

Shark

And again, saving the offtopic ones for the Lightningn Round

Ryan

12:10

In a dynasty keeper league who would you keep and who has the better upside long term between the both struggling Jason Heyward & Yasiel Puig?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

Heyward's safer, but Puig has more upside - a lot of Heyward's value is always going to be tied up in defense, which is fairly irrelevant for fantasy.

But Puig could also be out of baseball in two years

12:11

How many HRs will the league leader have at the end of the year?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

Let's say 44.

jeffw

12:12

Do the Cubs' recent struggles make them more likely to pursue upgrades? Still focused on relief or maybe a starter now?

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