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Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Dave Cameron
12:26
Robertson threw 52 pitches last night; and all of them very high effort. He needs a few days off.
B. Cashman
12:27
Jeter is reportedly likely to move Stanton. Hypothetically, how rough would your outfield defense be if you were starting Judge, Stanton and Harper (I guess Harper is the CF)? Asking for a friend...
Dave Cameron
12:27
Pretty rough. And the luxury tax payments that getting both of those guys would entail wouldn't be fun either.
Matt
12:27
Thoughts on what's next for Severino? Do you continue with the expected schedule and let him start Game 3, giving him a redemption at home? Do you try to get him out there earlier and start him in Game 2? If you stick with Game 3, do you make him available to supplement the bullpen tomorrow since he didn't throw too many pitches?
Dave Cameron
12:27
I'd probably push him to Game 2.
12:28
He's still their best starter.
Xolo
12:28
If you ran the Twins, what would be your approach to this offseason?
Dave Cameron
12:29
Patience. There's still a big gap between MIN and CLE, and you don't want to sacrifice too much of the future trying to think you're closer than you are.
Add an arm or two, but mostly run back the same team and evaluate in July.
PTBNL
12:31
Were last night's events enough to make managers consider bullpening a wild card game in the future? Or will conventional practices hold out.
Dave Cameron
12:31
I mean, we basically just saw one.
12:32
I think it will take a while before a team just says they aren't even going to have a starter take the mound first, since those are the guys who are used to warming up pre-game and having that routine, but I think we're already at the point where the SP designation is kind of useless, and everyone in that game is just going an inning or two.
Greinke and Gray will go deeper tonight, because neither ARI or COL really love their bullpens.
12:33
But for teams with strong relief corps, yeah, bullpenning is here.
Matt
12:33
So last night's game, in terms of the bullpen once it came in, worked out literally perfectly. This does not however, address what I believe to be the strongest criticism of the bullpen strategy for a game - that the likelihood of having that many guys be "on" in a single game decreases as you increase the number of guys. Thoughts?
Dave Cameron
12:33
There's zero evidence that it's true.
David
12:34
Concerning the Indians' confusing plan to start Kluber in Game 2, does it make more sense if they are planning to turn the Bauer and Tomlin starts into bullpen games at the first sign of trouble? Thus, starting Bauer in Game 1 and having the workhorses in Games 2 and 3 separates the bullpen games by more rest days, allowing them to more fully recover before game 4, while Kluber still pitches twice and Bauer is available for relief in the last two games. Maybe the Indians are actually smarter than people think.
Dave Cameron
12:35
I'm sure that's part of it. It's too cute for me, though. If there's no rainout, you still get an off-day between games 2/3, so even if you use Bauer in Game 2, you're getting a rest day and then a Carrasco start before Tomlin takes the mound.
And if there is a rain-out, this strategy blows for Cleveland.
Sterling Mallory Chris Archer
12:35
Any recovery update on your ACL?
Dave Cameron
12:36
I've been greenlit to start jogging again. So mostly back to normal human life, minus I can't do anything particularly aggressive. No running/cutting/jumping. But walking is fine and straight line jogging/biking gives me exercise options.
Matt
12:36
So, if last night just moved the "10" on a 1-to-10 scale of game awesomeness, what's the expectation for tonight? A 4?
Dave Cameron
12:36
Arenado and Goldschmidt are fun. J.D. Martinez. Jon Gray's slider. Greinke being Greinke.
I'll say a 7.
Specious Spencer
12:36
So the MVP award is, in your view, independent of team performance?
Dave Cameron
12:36
Yup.
12:37
It's an individual award.
The reward for team performance is the postseason.
Bleh
12:37
Is there a team that would legitimately surprise you if they made the world series?  Or have all the remaining playoff teams proven enough to be considered contenders?
Dave Cameron
12:37
COL making it would surprise me.
Gronch
12:37
Are the Yankees the second best team in the AL?
Dave Cameron
12:38
I'd say that's Houston.
But they might be just as good as Boston.
PTBNL
12:38
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/madison-bumgarner-rode-a-hot-stre...

curious to get your take on this article and how you view 'hot streaks' for a pitcher
Dave Cameron
12:38
I like that Rob is researching this. I'm not convinced that the conclusions are entirely right yet.
Aaron
12:39
Are writers glad it's finally October because they can start writing about the playoffs or not glad because everybody ends up writing about the same stuff?
Dave Cameron
12:39
The playoffs are super fun from a baseball standpoint, but kind of crappy from a life standpoint.
Today is my wedding anniversary (I got married before I was a baseball writer), and I'll spend it live blogging the Wild Card game.
TJ
12:40
Yankees really dont care what Blake Rutherford does repeating low class A again next year, do they?
Dave Cameron
12:40
No.
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