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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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jon
12:35
What have the additions of Eddie Butler and Alec Mills done to the Cubs AAA level starter depth? Are they better than Zastryzny, Ryan Williams and those already in the org?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:36
I think so, yes.
bananastand
12:36
Do you think that prospect rankings would be better on aggregate if scouts didn't include industry consensus in their evaluation? It seems to me that while individual rankings wouldn't be as good, if scouts didn't change their expectations due to the industry, aggregate rankings would probably be better
Eric A Longenhagen
12:37
Probably, but fewer scouts than you assume keep tabs on my work and the work of my peers. Orgs want their scouts to go into the evening with zero assumptions or predispositions and a lot of scouts oblige them. There's some debate about how primed orgs want their scouts to be.
YouthBerry
12:37
How does J.J. Schwarz of Florida (2017 draft) compare to 2016's college Catchers like Zack Collins and Matt Thaiss (moving off C I know)?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:38
More power than Thaiss, more physical projection than Collins, I think Collins has a better chance to hit, better pitch recog and ability to deal with offspeed stuff.
Drew
12:38
Do you think Aaron Judge becomes a consistent 3-4 win player?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:39
More 2-2.5 for me.
iron wolf
12:39
Hi Eric: what kind of future do you see for Willy Adames? Are you as high on him as some other guys? What kind of numbers do you see him possibly posting in his prime? Thx!
Eric A Longenhagen
12:39
I really like him and think he stays at short for a while, especially considering where batted ball data has taken us and the org for which he plays.
Ken M
12:39
Oddest story you've heard about a prospect
Eric A Longenhagen
12:40
(redacted) and (redacted) would put their (redacted) in the postgame spread, ya know, for giggles.
Jenny
12:40
What is your take on Nick Solak? Can he be a sleeper prospect?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:41
Bat first second baseman, potential plus hit tool, very little else. Was more of a way to squeeze Rutherford into the budget than anything but a nice little prospect all the same.
Will c
12:41
Is touki the best number 14 prospect on any team in baseball? With a +fastball and ++curve, could average command jump him into the overall top 50?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:42
Yeah it felt weird having him that low and being so attracted to his curveball. Average command puts him in the top 100, if the change comes too then yeah it's top 50.
Lord above
12:42
With all the jose de leon trade talk of the past few months the idea of starting pitchers without breaking balls being undervalued has been discussed. Do you think this is the case? Personally I think the pirates fastball inside change up's away success of late shows you can use these kinds of pitchers tactically to be quite effective.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:43
Ask all the people who think command/changeup guys are undervalued to go to a high school showcase and pick out the command/changeup guys.
Those pitchers are only identifiable after years of pro performance.
At which point, lots of guys without breaking balls already have a new occupation.
Big Joe Mufferaw
12:44
Do you think MLB should allow for draft picks being traded?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:44
Once Loria sells the team, yes.
YouthBerry
12:44
Thoughts on Jeren kendall's hit tool? He struck out 122 times in 435 college at-bats (28%), how concerning is that?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:45
Yeah, you've nailed the most difficult thing to nail down about his profile. The bat speed is there, for sure. And he has a good approach. But man, that swing path is kind of odd.
12:46
If I knew he were going to hit for power, I wouldn't care. But I'm not sure about that yet, either.
Jose
12:46
Thoughts on Fernando Tatis Jr? Could he be a top 100 guy this time next year? What % chance would you give him of sticking at SS?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:47
I'm that Fernando Tatis hipster who was shoving him up my list in the fall before it was cool. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/prospect-reports-san-diego-padres/
And he moves to 3B for me but might be a 60 or 70 glove there.
Adam
12:47
It seems like Hunter Greene has a REALLY good fastball and a lot of projection. Is there more to his current repertoire or is his ranking dependent on his athleticism and aptitude?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:48
Nope, I think you're on it. The slider will flash and got better as last year went along. I saw him in the spring during his junior year, then all during the showcases and his feel for it improved. Wouldn't surprise me if it was a solid 55 this spring.
Ronnie
12:50
If you had a crystal ball that told you three prospects would reproduce the regular season statistical records of Derek Jeter, Robin Yount and Paul Molitor in what order would you rank those prospects?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:51
Probably Yount or Jeter ahead of the others. Hard to pass up Yount hitting the Majors as a teenager and then raking for 20 years with a 70 stache.
John
12:51
Hey Eric. Thanks for the great work you do. What are your thoughts on Amir Garrett? Does he start for the Reds this year? Can he be a #2, or is he more like a #4/5 or a good BP arm? Thanks.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:51
I have him written up as a 55 which is a #3/4 and I think he gets there more on durability than dominant stuff.
Big Joe Mufferaw
12:52
Are you making a top 100 list this year or are you making it 150? 200?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:52
Just a hondo
Rick
12:52
Who is one guy you're way higher on than the consensus prospect ranks? One guy you're lower on?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:52
Shed Long
Lower on....hmmm...
12:53
Hold on I need to look at someone's list...
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