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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
12:02
Good morning everyone, we'll keep things tight to an hour today as I wrap up the Washington prospect list and move on to New York (AL).
12:03
let's begin
Slamboni
12:03
What are your thoughts on Anderson Tejada? Still young and has room to grow, but his numbers intrigue me
Eric A Longenhagen
12:04
I like him. Good bat speed, you're right that the body has more to give and there's already some power in there, not sure he's a shortstop but the bat projects fine at second base and if he does stay at short he could be a star. Was raw vs any offspeed stuff in AZL but showed some ability to adjust.
Fred
12:04
Do you prefer Allard or Braxton Garrett?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:05
A great question. Allard's proximity to the bigs is enticing and I've seen a good changeup there while Garrett's is still mostly projection, but Garrett has never had a back issue like Allard's....It's close but give me Allard.
Roadhog
12:05
Your thoughts on AJ Puk?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:06
I like him. Was up to 96 with a true plus slider during fall instructional league. Will go see him as I work on the A's list to see how the body (which concerns me, he's had back issues) looks and how he's using this new curveball he's working on.
Sandy Ravage
12:06
Why does Matt Chapman not get any love? I've read lots saying he plays great defense and his game power is legit?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:07
I agree Chapman is good, but am confused how you can see he doesn't get any love and then turn around in the next sentence and say you've read a lot about him
Jonesy
12:07
Hi Eric - Your Fangraphs colleagues are pretty high on Jharel Cotton - what do you expect from him this year and beyond?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:07
Been pounding the table for Cotton since the '15 Fall League.
12:08
I thought he should have been getting all those Dodgers starts Mike Bolsinger was getting.
Yuk Yuk Puk
12:08
Jacob Nottingham seems to have fallen off the radar for a lot of people. Is he just buried on a now deep farm system or is he not looking as good as he once was? Still only 21?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:09
I'm mostly off of him. Can't catch for me and too much swing and miss to play at first base. He has huge pure arm strength and raw power so if he can somehow move to right field despite his size, that might be interesting. He had a bad Fall League and that taste hasn't left the industry's mouth.
Golden Streamers
12:09
Do you think Willy Adames sticks at shorts or moves to 2B? Or 3B or 1B or OF?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:10
I think he'll be capable of staying there and would only move if Tampa found a superior defensive shortstop, someone plus or better there.
ryan
12:11
what does 'depth' mean when describing a breaking ball?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:12
I guess it's like describing amplitude. Deeper breaking balls have more amplitude than shallow ones.
Kyle
12:12
Where do you believe Jeimer Candelario will be playing baseball by the end of the 2017 season?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:12
I don't know but he looks fit and made some nice plays at third yesterday
Campy
12:12
Which minor league pitchers own the best curveball ?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:13
Touki
Nientsniew
12:13
Am I crazy to prefer amed over gleybar?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:13
No, I do.
80 grade question asker
12:13
seems like a pretty wide gap for desmond lindsays hit and game power floor/ceiling (30/55 for both). is that due to a lack of professional playing time? or something
Eric A Longenhagen
12:13
Correct.
bl27
12:13
Bellinger (LAD) showed all his skill this week. Can you give me a comparison ? Votto ?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:13
He's Cody Bellinger
Lunch angle
12:14
Physics tells us that the velocity at which a bat is swung is the largest determinant of the exit velocity of a struck baseball. Given that, why do I often hear it said of young prospects that they have plus bat speed but present below average raw power. Isn't that a contradiction? If a hitter can swing the bat at an above average speed, does it not follow that they must have above average raw power? Or does "bat speed" mean something other than "bat velocity"?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:15
Would definitely agree bat speed is a huge component of raw power. The incongruity in those reports might be explained in part by your chat name as players with good bat speed but no feel for lifting the baseball in the air might have sub-optimal power output during BP.
12:16
Also, I think the physical differences from player to player are often more distinct and extreme than people realize and other variables that factor into raw power are more influential than we assume.
Bork's Unborn Son
12:16
Can Judge make enough contact to be a regular?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:16
I think so
Mike in EV
12:17
In a hypothetical deadline trade for Dellin Betances given continued health and expected development paths, would Erick Fedde, Juan Soto, Tyler Watson & Pedro Severino be an overpay? My thought was that the NYY could then flip Severino & some other pieces to the CHW for Robertson & some $$$.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:18
I do think that'd be a lot but I thought last year's deadline deals for relievers were goofy too so what do I know about the trade market?
Also, I think Koda Glover might be the tonic Washington is looking for at the back of the bullpen.
Ron
12:19
Stephen Gonsalves had a great 2016. What do you expect going forward and when do you see him in Minneapolis?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:20
I like him despite the mediocre velo, think he's a solid rotation piece, full report here: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/top-24-prospects-minnesota-twins/
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