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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
1:38
70 run, 70 arm, potential 70 glove in CF, hit in affiliated ball as a teenage last year, has a non-zero chance to hit for some power if the body and approach develop in the right way.
Ben
1:38
Do you think Kapriellian has the stuff to debut this year and ultimately become a #2 SP?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:39
Yes but I think that's a confluence of all the best outcomes.
O Dizzle
1:39
What do you think of Tyler Glasnow struggles in spring training? Seems like he is still not ready for the majors until he can throw a good change up and improve his control.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:40
Same thing I've thought about Glasnow for several years, he either develops those things or is a reliever. (checks watch)
John Wick
1:40
Do you think Bellinger will have an adjustment period because of his swing path and aggressiveness?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:40
Yes
Chachi
1:40
I've heard buzz on Rockies OFer Daniel Montano. Anything here?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:41
Haven't gotten reports on him this spring yet, though. Will have to get up there to see him.
Erik
1:41
Gleyber Torres' grades translate to about a .280 hitter with 20 HRs, 3-5 steals, and average SS defense--in other words, very close to what Asdrubal Cabrera put up last year. Should the Yankees be satisfied if he turns out to be Asdrubal Cabrera 2.0?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:41
Hell yes, Cabrera has been a big leaguer since I was in high school , that would be a great outcome for Torres and the Yankees.
John
1:42
Of the Yankees rookie league prospects, I was least impressed with Wilkerman Garcia. If he can caught down on K's, I was more impressed with Dermis Garcia and thought Leonardo Molina was better as well. What say you?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:43
Not offended by any of that, would just note there are those who prefer Wilkerman because they think his defensive foundation is stable at shortstop.
Murdoc
1:43
What's the story behind that Otani footage you shot?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:44
Hokkaido has spring training here in AZ and he threw last year so I took off from my day job (at the time) and went. He was electric. Up to 99 in his first spring start. He's perfect.
Guest
1:44
Why isn't patience/approach given a grade? Seems like it's a pretty important tool. Too subjective?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:45
Too hard to grade in the small sample of looks scouts get, much better to just look at a larger body of work on paper for that specific thing, though that too comes with caveats.
jda
1:45
Can a single spring training look change your opinion about a prospect you'd seen and were comfortable evaluating the previous summer/fall? What if the difference between last year and this year isn't physical development?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:46
A great question. This is a scenario I'm only experiencing for the first time literally right now. My top 100 went up in the morning yesterday (before I woke up here, actually) and then hours later I was out at games watching players I had just ranked and it felt odd.
1:47
And two of them were Ariel Jurado and Yohander Mendez.z Mendez was a top 100 guy and Jurado was just off of it but after seeing them yesterday I might flip them, but doing that after one outing seems dumb....
1:48
I don't know, I'm still wrapping my head around the whole thing. Pretty sure this is what mid-year updates are for, though.
Rum Ham
1:48
What is the Amed Rosario floor? Can Alderson be confident he doesn't have to find a stopgap at shortstop as Cabrera's contract expires?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:48
Barring injury I think his floor is an above average everyday player.
El Duderino
1:49
If you could go back in time and scout ANY player while he was in highschool. Who would it be?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:49
Probably someone who we never got to see play baseball again, like Michael Vick maybe?
Hank
1:50
I appreciate all the prospect work. When does draft stuff start?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:50
Soon as lists are done and I take a quick breather we'll have a 2016 draft board to fill last year's gap and the first 2017 draft rankings.
Zonk
1:51
Regarding Cubs prospect Jose Albertos, Keith Law said Cubs were hiding him last year so clubs wouldn't ask for him in trade. That makes no sense to me; why would you want the industry to undervalue your prospects? If you don't want to trade him, there is an easy fix for that....don't. Am I missing something?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:53
It would have been hard for the Cubs to say "no" to a deal that included Albertos as a second or third piece last year. They were trying to win the World Series and you can't exactly justify a pitcher in complex level ball getting in the way of that pursuit.
1:54
Shutting down a prospect like that and hiding him until this year means he can start the year at an affiliate and be the type of prospect that is the centerpiece of a deal on his own, not just some AZL throw in who has barely pitched.
That's my own logic, not what I've heard about the Cubs in this situation.
Zonk
1:55
Did the Cubs overpay in sending a legit prospect, Donnie Dewees, to the Royals for DFA Alec Mills? Do you think the Royals undervalued Mills, or is Dewees not that good? Or the Cubs just have plenty of OF prospects, so who cares?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:55
I think Dewees is just okay. Had a scout put a 20 on the arm. That doesn't play in CF at all and if he can't play there he's not a regular.
Q-Ball
1:56
Thanks for the top-100 list! Jemier Candelario was in your "next 30". He is slimmer in camp, if his 3B defense improves, does he move up for you?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:56
Yes
Bip
1:56
I guess I will be the proxy for the raging discussion on the top 100 list: is there really a big difference between Aaron Judge and Matt Chapman, or are the commenters blowing up about a ranking difference that looks bigger than it is?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:58
A half grade separates them and only because we've seen Judge be able to make adjustments several times, cutting his strikeout rate at each stop after some reps there. Chapman hasn't done that. I think he's a terrific prospect, I'm just more apprehensive about the stability of his offensive profile.
Sam
1:58
Your write up of the Yankees farm system is the best thing to ever happen to me. Besides the hyped guys like Torres and Frazier, who is someone you just have a good feeling about?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:58
Abreu
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