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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
12:03
Good morning, all. I'll start today by encouraging you to help our friends in Puerto Rico if you have the means to do so. Let's chat.
Nick
12:03
Can you shed any light on what's wrong with Maikel Franco? His peripherals are normal (except a low-BABIP). It's it really just bad luck or is there a mechanical issue?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:06
Just based on the Phillies games I've seen he's not a very good 'Baseball Player' which is to say he makes poor approach decisions at the plate that lead to bad contact when he's making it. Was it yesterday or the day before he swung 2-0 with the team down two in the ninth inning? You need a baserunner in that situation and should be taking a strike. It wouldn't surprise me if, upon deeper analysis, you were to find the quality of his contact suffered because his approach is just bad.
Dan
12:06
Luis Garcia of the Nats seemed to show decent bat skills. Could he maybe start the year in Hagerstown?  What is his development looking like?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:06
I have no idea. I like Garcia but that will be probably be largely determined by how he looks next spring.
Mr. Sunshine
12:06
Who are your favorite prospects (<131 AB) to stash or keep for early-mid season MLB returns in fantasy next year?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:07
You can probably cross-reference Sept debuts with my lists and get the names you're looking for but Verdugo and Calhoun are the two that come to mind for me immediately.
osick87
12:07
Could Nate Pearson break into the top 100
Eric A Longenhagen
12:08
At some point, sure. But for now there's enough relief risk there that I really doubt he makes my offseason 100.
Dylan B
12:08
who in the minors has the best chance of debuting in the bigs before they're 20?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:08
Probably Vlad Jr.
Tribe
12:09
Do you really see Eric Haase becoming the Indians' primary catcher? Is his bat/defense good enough compared to Mejia?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:09
I think he has a chance to be an everyday catcher but not better than Mejia if Mejia continues to play there.
Weird question guy
12:10
Couple practical questions on instructs: do players get paid?  Can they/do they opt out?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:10
Pretty sure they're not paid, not sure about the second question but I imagine they'd be discouraged from doing so.
Nick
12:11
Do you think it's worth changing Yandy Diaz' swing for more fly balls given his peripherals?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:12
Meh. He's 26 and already a solid big league contributor with what he's got going on, so probably not.
YouthBerry
12:12
Fernando Tatis Jr. of the Padres organization, is a 55 future hit tool realistic?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:12
Yes
Lewis Thorpe
12:13
What's Lewis Thorpe's upside if he stays healthy?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:13
Realistically? Mid-rotation guy. Still just 21.
Nick
12:14
I read that Kevin Kramer will be a shortstop in fall league. Is there any chance he sticks there long term or is second base more likely?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:14
Yes, due to Cole Tucker's injury. Kramer is 2B-only for me.
RMR
12:15
I saw from Doug Gray that you had Hunter Greene's fastball at a relatively low 2200 RPM despite sitting 100.  What are the implications of that for his effectiveness?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:18
I wouldn't say 2200 is 'low', it's average, almost exactly Major League average. But of course 'average' in this case isn't an evaluation of effectiveness, just spin, and 'average' spin rates tend to be worse than well above or below average. I don't know how a 98+ fastball plays with 2200rpm off the top of my head but there might be another big leaguer with those measurables to look at as precedent. Greene got shelled yesterday but was clearly working on his breaking balls and he was hit with two consecutive comebackers, which had to suck.
Braves Marshmallow Experiment
12:18
Thoughts on Bae? Have any idea on scouting values for him?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:18
Sounds like a utility prospect.
Lawyer avoiding work
12:18
What kind of offensive line does an elite defensive catcher like J Rogers have to put up to be an all star caliber guy?  Saw him a few times this year. Cat quick and a cannon. Decent bat control for a guy with a deep low hand position too
Eric A Longenhagen
12:19
Maybe something like what Yasmani Grandal did this year
Kris in Seattle
12:19
Any plans for Fangraphs to expand its prospect coverage east? Content seems to steer towards teams with complexes in AZ.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:19
Well, I do live here.
And there aren't hurricanes cancelling instrux here.
12:20
So, you're gonna get more AZ stuff.
churchill's black dog
12:20
Eric: what's your opinion of Isan Diaz?  Does he have a chance to make the Big Show if he improves his contact rates?  The power appears to be real.  Thanks!
Eric A Longenhagen
12:20
I think he gets to enough of the power to play everyday, yes.
Nick
12:20
Theoretically, could J.P. Crawford make similar swing changes as Lindor and be a 20+ HR threat?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:21
Sure. Hell, Freddy Galvis hit 20 last year. In fact, based on how Matt Olson, Rhys Hoskins, Cody Bellinger and Aaron Judge have taken to the new baseball, I'm surprised Crawford doesn't already have 20 homers
Loren
12:21
Which of the Padre prospects in the AZL do you see making the biggest impact/raising their stock the most?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:23
Esteury Ruiz, Tirso Ornelas, Luis Patino and Jordy Barley were all impressive this summer.
iron wolf
12:23
I know Teoscar Hernandez isn't a prospect anymore, but have you gotten a chance to see him play?  Looks like he's finishing the season strong.  Thx!
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