JotCast | FanGraphs After Dark Chat

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9:31

Ethier, Kazmir, McCarthy, Gonzalez for Sale? Dodgers get salary relief & an ace, White Sox get veteran presents

Paul Swydan

9:32

I can't see that being an attractive package for the White Sox. If they trade Sale, it will be for prospects.

James

9:33

I was on my high school baseball team last year and probably next year too. I'm gay, though, and my teammates sometimes made fun of me for it. I don't like that, and it's hard for me to just ignore it. What should I do?

Jeff Zimmerman

9:34

Sorry for leaving you alone with Paul this whole time, but my daughter's basketball practice went long.

Paul Swydan

9:34

James, I think just continue to be yourself. I realize it is a sensitive subject, but if you let it show that it bothers you it will only get worse. I was made fun of plenty in high school. When you graduate from high school, you'll realize it was all BS. In any event, I'm sorry you have to endure that sort of treatment.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:35

Like Paul said, be yourself.

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9:35

KATOH thinks my Braves just got fleeced out of ~50 million expected future value on the Alex Jackson trade. Please tell me he's missing something, that his micropenis comps aren't a good methodology, anything. This is like being on the receiving end of the Shelby Miller trade if true.

Paul Swydan

9:36

First off, not a big fan of the "micropenis" term, wouldn't have pubbed had I caught that.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:37

I think the fleecing could be write. I think the Braves gave up 50M in surplus value (~6 WAR). The key will be if Alex Jackson can make up the 6 WAR,

Paul Swydan

9:37

Second, Chris' KATOH system isn't accounting for the potential that Alex Jackson has. He was a first-round pick for a reason. Unfortunately, his star has fallen to the degree where it's no longer forecastable that he makes good on that promise, which is why KATOH sees this as a loss for the Braves. That doesn't mean it was a bad trade. It's always worth it to take a shot on potential.

Ozzie Fan

9:37

Lot of St. Louis rumors. Any ideas how they compete with the cubs?

Paul Swydan

9:38

They're no longer competing with the Cubs. They're competing for a Wild Card spot.

9:39

They made that perfectly clear last winter when they refused to pony up for Heyward. That looks like a sound decision in retrospect, but the principle remains the same. I doubt the Cardinals will spend the money necessary to draw even with the Cubs, be it for free agents, international talent or in trade.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:39

The Cubs are going to be the favorite for 3-4 more years as the team stands right now without getting any more resources.

EbenezerBatflip

9:39

Anyone get the feeling that this offseason will be full of crazy trades? I think everyone is going to go big this year

Jeff Zimmerman

9:40

I think there is going to be more trades as teams will have to get creative to fill their needs. I am not sure about crazy, just more like the AZ-SEA trade

Paul Swydan

9:40

I'll believe it when I see it. I think unfortunately that we have moved into a more cautious, cold-war-like period. Sort of a dark way to describe a baseball offseason I guess, but I don't see a lot of crazy trades. Sorry to be a kill joy.

Erik

9:40

Someone over at MLB Pipeline said that Torres may be a top 5 prospect in the next top 100. That seems absurd. Is there some Yankee bias there?

Paul Swydan

9:41

No, he's good enough to warrant a top 5 or 10 spot.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:41

No, he is the real deal after seeing him in the AFL. I am not sure top 5, but at least a 60 grade player. I did like Jimenez and O'Niell more

Paul Swydan

9:42

Not a whole lot of 19-year-olds putting up 115/121 wRC+ in High-A. Even fewer doing it while playing shortstop.

Kristen

9:42

Does Jurickson Profar have any trade value coming off a less-than-stellar season and with his injury history?

Paul Swydan

9:43

I don't think Profar has trade value, but if I could get find the right deal for Odor - who is severely overrated and a powderkeg waiting to explode - I would deal him and let Profar start at second.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:43

IMO, quite a bit if they are willing to trade him.

EbenezerBatflip

9:44

Carson Smith was a weapon for SEA then injured in BOS, expectations for him in 2017?

Jeff Zimmerman

9:44

The key will be him getting healthy

Paul Swydan

9:45

Well he's going to miss a big chunk of the season, if not all of it, recovering from Tommy John. I'm hopeful for him when he comes back though.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:45

Basically none.

Whoa Nelly

9:45

Do the Rockies have a shot at a wildcard spot, provided good health?

Paul Swydan

9:45

I always think the Rockies have a shot at a Wild Card spot, provided good health. With Jon Gray around, I especially think that this winter.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:46

Yes, if the pitching comes together.

EbenezerBatflip

9:46

Who is more likely to be traded Miggy or Sale?

Paul Swydan

9:46

Sale.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:46

Sale

nate marrow

9:46

Joel Sherman declared that the Mets are back to there big spending ways- if that is the case why do we keep hearing that they are out of jerry blevins, not in the market for one of the big time closers, or a legit big league catcher?

Paul Swydan

9:46

The simplest explanation would be that Joel Sherman is wrong.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:47

What Paul said, they likely still have limitations.

Paul Swydan

9:47

I don't know if he is or isn't, but that's my first thought. The Mets have grifted MLB into letting them operate as a mid-tier team while charging big-team prices. Why would they start spending more now unless MLB told them they had to?

Marco

9:48

do you think Jay Bruce could net a quality reliever

Paul Swydan

9:48

No, but I'm a Bruce pessimist.

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