JotCast | FanGraphs After Dark Chat

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Jeff Zimmerman

9:31

I think the players need to bring a big time business man. They are going against 30+ smart guys and getting owned

aspergilius fumigatus

9:32

A few weeks ago, Sullivan had an article about how Kiermaier (and the Rays in general) were unlucky in which pitchers they faced, presumably causing his hitting stats to hover below his true value. Why isn't this strength of opponent factor used more in player forecasts? Does it have to do with a sense of "evening out" over time?

Paul Swydan

9:32

Yeah, I think the underlying point there is that those things usually DO even out over time, but for that specific period of time, they didn't for Kiermaier. Nevertheless, I don't view him as an elite hitter.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:33

In forecasts, one is going to be able to forecast pitcher rotations.

Aunt Jessie

9:33

Do you know of any *specific* examples of "contract negotiations in season distracted a player?" And/or, address that meme/cliche/tactic/line in general...? Is it true? Is it a negotiation tactic? Etc? It seems like this is what an agent is FOR so I don't see why it'd be that distracting..?

Jeff Zimmerman

9:34

I think players just want to play the game and not get pissed with management. The don't want to get into a Betances situation mid-season

Paul Swydan

9:35

Well, don't forget that for the most part, you're not dealing with people with the same capacity for intellectual thought as a FanGraphs reader. Furthermore, these guys need to be laser-focused in order to succeed. But it's also a little bit of a ploy too.

First Time Poster

9:35

Had the first pick in a one round minor league draft, with the pick having to begin the year in the minors to stay on your team. Moncada, Rodgers, and Crawford were all kept, and I wanted upside with 2018/2019 as my main focus and went with Gleyber Torres. Thoughts?

Paul Swydan

9:35

Love Gleyber, and he's a good pick given your situation.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:36

Good pick. I am a huge Robles fan though. Can't really go wrong.

Dronefinger

9:36

If Eric Gagne pitches decent for Canada in the WBC will any team offer him an MLB contract?

Paul Swydan

9:36

I doubt it, but stranger things have happened.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:37

Milb at most

Mat

9:37

$4 Baez, $6 Peraza or a $5 Gray for my last keeper in a 10 team only league? I'm already keeping Bryant, Rizzo, Turner, Piscotty, Dahl, Cueto and Oh for a total of $104

Paul Swydan

9:38

$5 Gray!

Jeff Zimmerman

9:38

Peraza and I may take Baez over Oh

Dronefinger

9:38

Should the All-Star game add skills contests? I wan't to see some Outfielder throwing contests and Pitchers breaking plates on corners of the strike zone with pinpoint control.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:38

Keep one forever in standard 20-team, 35-keeper industry league? Keepers due tonight.

Paulo Orlando (17.5% | 7 votes)

Matt Boyd (50% | 20 votes)

Hector Santiago (15% | 6 votes)

Tyler Duffey (17.5% | 7 votes)

Total Votes: 40

Paul Swydan

9:39

Yes. I've been on this for a long time.

Jeff with a real dilly of a pickle there.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:39

That league is insanely deep

Paul Swydan

9:40

Oh by the way - a friend of mine is looking for one more fantasy league. Roto, deep rosters, Yahoo, keeper but not full dynasty, snake/ladder draft, no FAAB. if anyone has a league like that that needs a member, holler at me!

First Time Poster

9:40

Projections for Dozier in 2017? I want to like him... but for no reason I can't seem to justify using an early pick on him. Convince me?

Paul Swydan

9:40

I cannot convince you, and would not spend an early pick on him.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:42

ADP at 34. I would have guessed 40. Seems right to me: http://nfbc-hosted.stats.com/mlb/adp.asp?pos=2B

Mike L

9:42

Who has a better chance to bounce back King Felix or Dallas K?

Paul Swydan

9:42

I'll vote King Felix.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:43

Dallas, young and pitched through injuries. I think Felix may be done or headed to the CC level of talent

Billy Beane

9:43

New York could almost definitely support a 3rd team, but how hard do you think the Yankees and Mets would fight it? I feel like the Mets would stand to lose more, but the Yankees would be able to shut it down quicker.

Paul Swydan

9:43

Oh they'd fight it tooth and nail. It would never happen.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:44

Agree

BoJack Horseman

9:44

I hope it's clear that this name and the many horrible things I say is a joke. Thanks for the chats, gang.

Paul Swydan

9:45

Well, it's clear to me, anyway. I can't speak for everyone, of course.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:45

/tells FBI to quit searching for Bojack

Paul Swydan

9:45

haha

Campy

9:45

If you had to pick the first team to be a seller this year (that actually isn't already rebuilding), who would it be?

Paul Swydan

9:46

Oh, fun.

I'll say toss up between the Tigers and Marlins.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:46

Marlins ...maybe the Royals.

9:47

Yea, Tigers need a major rebuild

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