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Pat

9:48

Is Vlad Guerrero a HOF'er? Bobby Abreu? You seemed eager to discuss Utley's chances. I know I would really enjoy an article discussing the case for/against some of the upcoming borderline guys...

Paul Swydan

9:49

I wrote about Vlady's chances over the winter.

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/is-vladimir-guerrero-a-hall-of-famer/

9:50

I'd put his odds as slightly lower than Utley, just because he doesn't stand out in the pack as much at his position.

I can't imagine Abreu sniffing the Hall, deserving or not.

Von Schloss

9:50

Do you see Longoria getting dealt?

Paul Swydan

9:51

I mean, I can understand why the Rays would sell now, but he's their franchise guy. If you trade him, why would any fan have any reason to go to a Rays game? I don't see it.

Josh

9:51

Would you try to sell Carlos Gonzalez or stand pat? His BABIP is about 40 points higher than career, and obviously a trade out of Coors is bad. However, he's got .275/40 ability (as shown last year), and he's been so consistent. FWIW I'm doing well in standings. If you wanted to dilute, who are some bats I could realistically target?

Paul Swydan

9:52

In fantasy, I hang on to him until I see where he's headed in real life. I don't think it's a slam dunk that the Rockies trade him.

Levin

9:52

If Puig is traded, what's a realistic package? Top 50 plus couple guys who have ceiling to be average-below average starters?

Paul Swydan

9:53

I think at this point given his underperformance and general reputation (deserved or not) that it's probably closer to top 100-125 prospect plus a couple of guys in the vein of what you said.

Murdoc

9:54

Did Jeff finally revolt because you won't let him pick questions?

Paul Swydan

9:54

Haha, no, Jeff is on vacation in the mountains this week. I don't think he even brought his laptop with him. Nor should he have.

Travis

9:54

What's your best guess on how Miguel Sano's bat develops? He's been good this year, but hasn't really locked in.

Paul Swydan

9:55

Honestly, the Twins have managed him doesn't give me much confidence in him until/unless they clean house.

the way the Twins have managed him, is what I meant to say

Levin

9:56

Re-Vlad HOF, according to Baseball Reference he's above average HOFer in 3 of 4. No question for you but thought it's worth noting.

Paul Swydan

9:57

Yeah, he's above average, but he's also in a pack with a bunch of other above average guys who are also up for induction. And Edmonds, who had a similar career value, fell off the ballot in his first year. Such are the decisions the BBWAA back log has created.

Minty

9:57

Puig for Archer?

Paul Swydan

9:57

No I can't see that happening.

Jim Lonborg

9:57

Argh Uehara injured. There will be no relievers left by the end of the season.

Paul Swydan

9:58

No one should be surprised by Koji getting hurt. He's been bad all season and in his 40s. He's been the worst reliever on the team as well, though he had been slightly better since being moved back to the closer role. In any event, they can call Joe Kelly back up, and Tazawa is back on Friday. Not too concerned.

Levin

9:59

Aldo, has anyone with high end trade value seen their value fall further this season than Puig without injury being main reason?

Paul Swydan

9:59

Jose Abreu is definitely in that discussion. Can I still count Allen Craig? No, he probably never had high end trade value. :-)

Levin

9:59

If that is all it takes for Puig, why wouldn't a team roll the dice? Still got his prime years to come and ceiling is superstar. Don't personally like him though.

Paul Swydan

10:00

Well that's the million dollar question of this trade deadline, right? I can't wait to see what the answer to this question is.

Levin

10:01

Edmonds value was defensive based though. Vlad was perhaps the best hitter ever at sending a pitch 10 feet out of the zone over the fence. He's also the last great Expo.

Paul Swydan

10:01

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2016&month=0&season1=1993&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=1153,778

10:02

So, sort of, but only because Vlad played for longer. By wRC+, they're basically the same player. In any case, there's not enough separation based on their offensive values between "falls off the ballot in first year" and "hall of famer"

Not to me, anyway.

That's not to say I will be mad if Guerrero gets in. I loved watching him, and don't think sins of past year's votes should necessarily count against him.

Harry Caray's Ghost

10:02

I'm going to watch some Bond movies tonight. Pick two from this group for me - Thunderball, On Her Majesty's Secret Service, For Your Eyes Only, GoldenEye, or Casino Royale.

Paul Swydan

10:03

GoldenEye is my favorite Bond movie, so that one. And then either Secret Service or Your Eyes Only. I can't remember which I liked better. I have the whole collection, but they're bootleg Chinese copies, and they didn't always play correctly.

10:04

Didn't always play correctly is how my parents and teachers would probably describe me too, come to think of it.

In any case, that's going to do it for this week. Thanks as always for hanging out, and I'll see you peoples next week!

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