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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 10/20/17
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Jeff Sullivan
9:29
The answer is Adrian Beltre
Scherzer? I hardly know her
9:30
Gut feeling. Where is Harper playing in 2019?
Jeff Sullivan
9:30
Yankees
Waltharius
9:30
Who will most likely be the trade candidate from Padres farm system when the time comes that they will FINALLY compete?
Jeff Sullivan
9:30
How is anyone supposed to know that answer now?
9:31
They're years and years off. The trade-bait players might not even be in the system yet
LegallyEagle
9:31
For the World Series, no reason to save up for a next round. So should the Dodgers go with a 3-man rotation and put Wood into the bullpen?
Jeff Sullivan
9:31
Nah. You still don't want to overtax your players. I think you just start Wood and think from the get-go that he might get only four or so innings
Scherzer? I hardly know her
9:31
Gut feeling. Who is Otani playing for in 2018?
Jeff Sullivan
9:32
Cubs. But I have no particularly good reason to say that, other than they could badly use him, so they'll try as hard as they can
Blame
9:32
Hey Jeff, how much will the new QO be worth? Basically what a high second round pick is? (For those players eligible for that)
Jeff Sullivan
9:33
It's something like $18 million
Oddball Herrera
9:34
With an average pitcher facing an average batter, what % of pitches outside of the zone would you guess are there on purpose, and what % would you guess are true misses?
Jeff Sullivan
9:34
I'd say maybe 20-25% of pitches are *intended* to be balls
9:35
Well, let me take that back. 0% of pitches are intended to be balls. But maybe 20-25% are intended to be out of the zone
9:36
Pitchers, for the most part, try to pitch to the edges. They're looking for borderline calls or borderline swings. Pitchers aren't that accurate
Just about no pitch is ever supposed to be an easy strike down the middle, and just about no pitch is ever supposed to be more than six or nine inches away from the zone
Michelle
9:37
Hi Jeff, how do you handle how much there is to read in this world but so little time to do so?
Jeff Sullivan
9:37
The world is meant to be experienced, not read about
Colin
9:38
Not a big deal, but why did Morrow and Jansen pitch last night with a huge lead?
Jeff Sullivan
9:38
I don't know. Maybe some kind of reward
Also, baseball managers are obsessed with going for the throat. Everyone on the Dodgers now gets several days to rest
Ted
9:40
Is there any particular strategy (or strategies) the Yankees should look to employ against Verlander tonight? He looked downright invincible last time out
Jeff Sullivan
9:40
Last night, the Dodgers came out very aggressive against Jose Quintana, knowing that he loves to strike early and get ahead
9:41
With Verlander, as you'd expect, he's pretty fastball-heavy early in counts. He goes to the slider when he's out ahead. He made terrific use of that slider earlier in the series. There's not much for the Yankees to do to prepare, but they should at least think about going after more first-pitch fastballs
Lunar verLander
9:42
Apparently (as of a few minutes ago), Dusty Baker won't be returning as Nats manager next year. Thoughts?
Jeff Sullivan
9:43
I like Baker as the Nats' manager, but it seems there was some mounting discord between himself and ownership. He wanted an extension in the middle of the year that ownership wouldn't give. No manager likes to manage in a contract season as a possible lame duck
9:45
Look, Baker is 68. Lived a full life. Hasn't won a World Series, but there are bigger things than that. I think he's still a capable MLB skipper, but maybe Baker is just tired of the drama and the exhaustion. Seems like a candidate to become very happily and contentedly retired
E
9:45
what% of winning the world series is luck?
Jeff Sullivan
9:45
A large percent
9:46
Not so large a percent once you get there, but the path is fraught with obstacles
M
9:46
Hey Jeff! Remember when the dodgers traded Dee Gordon for Hernandez, Barnes, and, essentially, howie Kendrick? That was awesome.
Jeff Sullivan
9:47
Even back then, Barnes seemed like a very underrated something
Ben
9:47
Do you want to manage the Nats with Dusty gone?
Jeff Sullivan
9:47
good heavens no
I can't stand being around alphas
Joe
9:47
Who wins tonight?
Jeff Sullivan
9:47
Astros
CamdenWarehouse
9:48
It's OK to hope that the Cubs don't win the WS again before the Orioles get one, right?
Jeff Sullivan
9:48
It's OK to root for whatever you want to root for, provided it's not rooting for bodily harm
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