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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 12/4/15
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Jeff Sullivan
9:02
Okay!
9:03
And I'm already having problems!
9:04
Well I don't know what's happening on my end but let's just try to do this
Bork
9:04
Did Eno teach you where the End Chat button is?
Jeff Sullivan
9:04
I bet he was just using that as an excuse to end his chat right at the one-hour mark
9:05
But actually I can let you know that in response to that they have moved the end chat button to a different place that is far away!
j6takish
9:05
Jeff, if you could have a 10 year major league career but as a middling replacement level journeyman, what type of player would you like to be? 6th starter/rubber armed long man? Utility infielder? No bat/no glove backup catcher? Other?
Jeff Sullivan
9:06
I'd like to be a pitcher. In these circumstances I would be a relatively bad pitcher, but I miss the days of pitching more than anything else I've ever done athletically. Pitching is so awesome, you're right in the middle of everything
And now I know enough to be able to say that when something goes wrong it's part defense and part bad luck! Statistical exoneration!
Lawrence
9:06
How likely are the Rockies to trade CarGo this off season? Who are the candidates to go after him?
Jeff Sullivan
9:07
I think it's pretty likely, with his contract slowly nearing its end, but obviously the outfield market is taking some time to develop with pitchers up front
9:08
Right now the Angels don't have a left fielder, and the Orioles could use some left-handed hitters. So those are two possibilities at the moment
The Angels have been rumored for a while, I think
Derek Carr
9:10
So, any thoughts on Hyun-soo Kim? I'd love him on the A's.
Jeff Sullivan
9:11
I haven't watched him yet -- I was most interested in Park, for obvious reasons -- but this is a good time for Kim to be coming over. Not only because of the Kang effect, but also because he's seemingly a disciplined contact hitter, and teams around the league are increasingly in love with contact hitting
9:12
I don't know how his power might translate, and as an example, Nori Aoki signed for another small contract, but let's say, hypothetically, that Kim is on the Aoki level. That's a starting-caliber player, or a tremendously good 4th OF
And I think Kim could be better than that
Last year he had 38 more walks than strikeouts. I don't care what league you're in -- that's impressive
Matt
9:14
Javy Baez, Pierce Johnson, and Albert Almora for Shelby Miller and Shae Simmons...Who says no?
Jeff Sullivan
9:14
Braves are going to want a position player who's good *now*
Or at least *someone* who's good now.
Curious
9:15
30 year old David Price has 1441 innings of work with an ERA 21% better than league average. After his first 6 seasons 28 year old Tom Seaver had 1641 innings of work with an ERA 29% better than league average. How much would that resume be worth today? 10/350?
Jeff Sullivan
9:15
There's only so many years teams would be willing to go on a pitcher contract, and I don't think we'll see "10" for a long time, but you're looking at $35-40 million a season for several seasons
9:16
Closer to $40 million, I imagine. Greinke is thinking about a $35-million salary, and Seaver would be younger and probably a bit better
Norrin Radd
9:17
Opinion on the Dbacks new uniforms?
Jeff Sullivan
9:17
They look stupid but we get used to these things quickly. It wasn't long ago everyone was making fun of the Marlins' horrible look. Now it's just accepted as the look of the Marlins and nobody cares
9:18
Cheers to the Diamondbacks for taking a bold step. Jeers to the Diamondbacks for taking that step into a pit
Will Graham
9:19
Thoughts on the Pelfrey deal?
Jeff Sullivan
9:19
Tremendously unexciting, because it's Mike Pelfrey, but last year he got his fastball back, and over the course of his career he's limited quality contact and home runs. It's not a small-sample fluke anymore, I don't think. So it's something going in his favor. He's not a lot of fun, but this is the going rate for a proven No. 4/5
9:20
The dream scenario has Shane Greene re-discovering his ability to not suck. Pelfrey is a sort of Greene insurance
Zach
9:20
1 year for Pelfrey is dull but acceptable. 2 years is insane. Am I wrong?
Jeff Sullivan
9:21
Ehh, dude throws 93-94. Step forward last year. Would've preferred a year and an option, but it's tolerable
some guy
9:22
Is it far-fetched to see a trade that sends Ethier to CLE where the Indians pick up $5m/yr of that contract? Would both sides agree to that?
Jeff Sullivan
9:22
They'd probably prefer to not have an all left-handed outfield, but sure, if the price was right, they'd do it
Wondering
9:23
Do you like the numbers more for what they tell us about what already happened or for what they tell us about what may yet happen?
Jeff Sullivan
9:24
It's always more interesting to try to see the future. We've all already seen the past. I like the numbers because they let me play detective in a way. You poke around and you look for what might be an indicator of something coming down the road. Oftentimes we end up wrong when we do this, but then we get to learn, and in theory we're always getting smarter
Bork
9:25
What's your opinion on the Atkins hiring? From what I've seen/heard, it looks like it's Shapiro's team and Lacava/Atkins are just his assistants.
Jeff Sullivan
9:25
You're basically right. The power won't be all Shapiro's, but he does have the most
9:26
Now, whether Atkins will bring a diversity in thought processes, I don't know. He might be so similar to Shapiro it's like having a clone. But since I don't know the guy I don't want to speculate on that part
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