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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 2/3/17
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Jeff Sullivan
9:03
Hello friends
9:04
Welcome to Friday baseball chat
Bork
9:04
Hello, friend!
Jeff Sullivan
9:04
Hello friend
9:05
Apologies for this brief immediate delay but now I have a phone call real quick
ZMP
9:06
Do you think we see a spike in K-rate from Stroman or Taillon this year?
Jeff Sullivan
9:06
Stroman, yes -- I think his leg is back to 100%, and he also started to figure out some strikeout techniques last year over the course
9:07
Taillon, I wouldn't expect a huge boost -- I love his skillset, and he takes charge by throwing so many strikes, but I think he'll be more of a K-BB% pitcher than a straight-up K% pitcher, on account of how few walks he issues
Bebop
9:08
James McCann was the second most valubale defensive catcher according to defensive ratings, is he that good defensively or do defensive ratings not capture pitch framing?
for what it is worth the top 5 is 1.perez 2. mccann 3. lucroy 4.barnhart 5 posey, does that sound about right?
Jeff Sullivan
9:09
McCann got a +9 by DRS, but almost all of that was because he was so good at gunning base-stealers down. Last year he was a strong thrower and a strong blocker. His receiving actually rated at around league-average, and I don't believe framing is a factor in the DRS calculations
9:10
Overall, McCann is good back there. It's why the Tigers talk him up so much even though he hasn't hit
Zonk
9:10
Should Joe Blanton's agent just send the Nats a 1 year, $4 mil contract and get this done already?
Jeff Sullivan
9:10
There's no way that Blanton should have to settle for less than what Boone Logan got
9:11
But you're still pretty close. It's surprising to me that the Blanton market hasn't moved faster, given that he can be effective against lefties and righties
I wonder if Blanton's long-term history is being held against him
Chaps
9:12
With the Astros getting 2 draft picks from the Cardinals, do you think this changes Lunhow's mind about standing pat on trading for a starting pitcher, or are the 2 draft picks not enough to justify giving up the rumored asking price for Archer / Quintana / Gray?
Jeff Sullivan
9:12
It doesn't mean *nothing* but it isn't going to tip the balance for anything, I don't think. The draft picks aren't super valuable and they aren't even actual players yet. Good prospects in the system are important because they've already surpassed a number of thresholds.
9:13
The Astros remain interested in adding a quality starter, and that won't go away. But they won't, say, give away Musgrove in return, and extra draft picks won't make other teams like the Astros' prospects more
Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes
9:13
Loved the piece on my namesake. What prompted you to dig into the quality of pitchers faced?
Jeff Sullivan
9:13
Desperation
I noticed it when researching Logan Forsythe the other week, but I couldn't justify writing another Logan Forsythe post
Zonk
9:15
Why weren't the Nationals in on Chris Coghlan? I realize he isn't amazing, but if Seth Smith was a fit, and you have no money, Coghlan seems like a poor man's Seth Smith.....unless they really like Clint Robinson?
Jeff Sullivan
9:15
Robinson is projected to be just as good a hitter as Coghlan. Same age. Probably just not worth doubling up
Chone Figgins
9:15
Hi Jeff! How come you haven't called me lately? I miss you!
Jeff Sullivan
9:15
You suck
BJOGC
9:16
Jeff, I had a dream that we met and I gave you a Keurig machine. You looked at me like I was the weirdest person ever even though you also brought a gift to give to me. I do not recall what you gave to me but I do remember feeling hurt
Jeff Sullivan
9:16
I probably gave you your Keurig back
Ryan
9:16
Greater longterm value, Correa or Lindor?
Jeff Sullivan
9:16
I'll take Correa. Really high offensive potential
9:17
I do realize how good Lindor has been to this point. Don't @ me
Q-Ball
9:18
Mark Trumbo gets $37 mil. Chris Carter is looking for work in Japan. What is the real difference between these two, other than Trumbo's ability to be really bad in in the OF?
Jeff Sullivan
9:18
Basically, Trumbo is a little more versatile, a little more athletic. Also puts the ball in play more often. It shouldn't make the difference it has on the market, but he's beyond a certain threshold, while Carter is just below
Brett W
9:18
Any more thoughts on Houston and why they regress so much in your team defense analysis? Is it all Rasmussen, or are other things pushing that as well?
Jeff Sullivan
9:19
Probably losing Rasmus and reducing Marisnick's playing time
The defense will still be OK. They'll just be a little more offense-first
Wil Myers
9:19
Any chance I stay healthy and repeat production that I had last year?
Jeff Sullivan
9:19
Well sure. We don't know nearly enough about individual injury-proneness
big boy
9:19
hey jeff - do you buy the rumours surrounding wacha being pushed to the pen? At 25, he should have something left, no?
Jeff Sullivan
9:20
It's more a question of how much his shoulder can handle. A little like how the Reds have pushed Iglesias to the bullpen because of concerns about his own shoulder. Wacha can clearly be effective as a starter, but if he can't stay healthy as a starter, what's the point?
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