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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 4/7/17
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Big Tuna
9:20
What is a good swinging strike rate for a pitcher? Does it change based on pitch type?
Jeff Sullivan
9:20
Last year's SP average was 9.5%. Last year's RP average was 11.1%. Use those as your rough baselines
Sterling Mallory Chris Archer
9:21
You haven't posted a Mike Trout article in quite a while. Is the bromance still alive?
Jeff Sullivan
9:21
An active volcano isn't in constant eruption
Pete
9:21
Are you buying this resurrection of vintage Ryan Zimmerman?
Jeff Sullivan
9:22
Even last year, he hit the ball hard. He just didn't hit it to the right places. I'm very interested to see if he's elevating the ball better, after a month or two of this
The Average Sports Fan
9:22
Pretty much everything has to go right for the Royals to contend. Getting swept by the Twins would be the opposite of that. And it seems their bullpen is not good. Lose over 80 games?
Jeff Sullivan
9:23
I don't think the Royals are good. I think they'd be lucky to finish .500. And if anything is most troubling from this start it's that Matt Strahm looked so bad. They need him to be good if they want that bullpen to work. His numbers are ugly
Maxamuz
9:24
+/- 68% of questions can be answered via "April"
Jeff Sullivan
9:24
Well, sure, but that's no fun. Should FanGraphs just not operate for the first month and a half?
Big Tuna
9:24
Can K-Rod be a successful closer throwing 86-87?
Jeff Sullivan
9:25
Probably not. I bet he could be an average reliever, give or take, but you'd like something better than that in higher-leverage spots
Sonny
9:26
Your piece on Lorenzen today touched on an important part of his ability, high level college track record. I understand why teams wouldn't push HS draftees to try two-way but college draftees who've shown proficiency in both should get a chance to develop (in some form).
Jeff Sullivan
9:27
I don't know how reasonable it is -- hitting and pitching are difficult enough on their own. There's a reason specialization has taken off. But I love when players can be dual threats, as uncommon as it is. You could even argue switching between hitting and pitching training can help keep the mind fresh, and less preoccupied with stress or whatever
In general, I'm pro-DH, but I sure do love that pitchers still hit, because of the really good ones, and because of the really bad ones
Dylan
9:29
Great signs from Harvey last night
Jeff Sullivan
9:29
Strikes: good! Aggressiveness: good! Velocity: down! Hittability: up! Mixed bag. But it's just good to see him pitching again
bl27
9:31
2 of my favorites players are very bad so far. Altuve and Bryant. How to explain the bad start by Altuve? Not very good at WBC and weak stats during ST.
Jeff Sullivan
9:31
Altuve's fine. They're both fine. Altuve's ST wasn't out of the ordinary for him. His track record is way too good to be worried
2-D
9:32
Which would be better, a DH that's also a starting pitcher, or position player that's also a reliever?
Jeff Sullivan
9:33
The former makes it easier to plan. 32 starts on the mound and 130 starts in the lineup. The latter makes things all complicated
Advice?
9:33
My girlfriend of 8 years, who I started dating when we were 20 and with whom I've lived for almost 4 years, just broke up with me out of the blue. What should I do now?
Jeff Sullivan
9:33
Figure out the moving situation, then move, then deeply immerse yourself in some kind of hobby/pastime for weeks or months
E
9:34
do you think David Peralta will continue to platoon (Chris Owings started in RF against LHP)
Jeff Sullivan
9:35
Soft platoon. He won't face *zero* lefties, but when he gets days off, it'll be with lefties on the mound
9:38
Sorry for the hiccup, having some power issues in Portland at present
Wind storm!
JR
9:38
Does UZR/DRS factor in playing surface into their calculations? I imagine turf (Trop and Rogers) and Chase Field (very dry, hot, fast) would make infielders appear to have worse range than their true talent. These conditions do show up in park factors though, right?
Jeff Sullivan
9:38
Yeah, the conditions aren't taken directly into account, but the measurements do use park factors. Presumably anything real is captured
Erik
9:39
What small sample overreaction to the opening games so far would you get behind?
Jeff Sullivan
9:39
New old pitch for Dylan Bundy + great results = whole lot of fun
Meanwhile, Byron Buxton is less fun
Mike
9:40
If Syndergaard and deGrom stay healthy, and deGrom is 2015 deGrom (as he appears to be), do the Mets win the NL east?
Jeff Sullivan
9:40
I don't think so. I see the Nationals as better even with Syndergaard and deGrom being great
GraphsFan
9:40
What are the common reasons that you are late to baseball chat, and what percent of the time is it because you are daydreaming about Mike Trout?
Jeff Sullivan
9:40
Sometimes it's because I'm recording a podcast right before. More commonly it's because I'm reading baseball articles and I read one too many
Lenn Sakata
9:41
Is this one start from Brandon Finnegan real?
Jeff Sullivan
9:41
Well it wasn't fake
It happened. There's video
Nelson
9:42
What year will be the last year that a pitcher logs 200 innings?
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