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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 8/18/17
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Jeff Sullivan
10:35
I've never had a problem with my Platypus gravity filter, but the downside is it can be slow-going. Girlfriend recently picked up one of the MSR pump filters, and that's faster, if more tiring. Just got my hands on a Life Straw, which I haven't yet used. Will be just for emergency
Michael
10:36
Why are HBP weighted as more than BBs in wOBA?
Jeff Sullivan
10:36
HBPs are distributed more randomly. Walks are skewed slightly toward situations where, say, a base is open, or a worse player is coming up
Harry
10:37
I remember reading about Jason Kipnis admitting to farting in the catchers face on purpose and Jorge Posada saying something along those lines happened to him. Could horrendous gas be the next market inefficiency?  Like looking for batters how frequently get eye watering gas?
Jeff Sullivan
10:38
Literally every single time I tell my girlfriend I'm having trouble thinking of a writing or podcasting idea or whatever, she tells me to write about catchers and farting.
Babe Lincoln
10:39
Any hiking (or other) recommendations in/around Badlands National Park/Custer State Park in SD?  Going there on the 26th.
Jeff Sullivan
10:39
Haven't been yet. So soon, I'll be asking *you*! Take your sun protection seriously. Don't be a hero.
mmddyyyy
10:39
Which movie scene best describes how you feel during these chats?
Jeff Sullivan
10:40
You know that Austin Powers scene where he's just pissing for like two and a half minutes?
By the end of these, I usually really have to go to the bathroom, is the point
Hannah Hochevar
10:41
Was excited about Cahill to KC. Do you think his struggles stemmed from the injury or do they call the prior success into question?
Jeff Sullivan
10:41
Shoulder
I think he's just hurt, and the Royals, unfortunately, don't get to see the best of him
That was the risk
LegallyEagle
10:41
When you hike (by yourself) do you carry with you an emergency GPS receiver?
Jeff Sullivan
10:42
I haven't, but I also haven't yet put myself in a situation where that would be necessary. Not when alone. If I start advancing into, say, more avalanche territory by myself, I'll do that, not that it would help much in the event...
Pumpsie Green
10:42
Where do you stand on the Phillies trading Nola? I've read differing opinions among your peer group over the last couple of days.
Jeff Sullivan
10:43
I think it's something they should probably be open to next July, but then, by next July, we'll know a lot more about Nola, and about the Phillies around him
Nola has four more years of control after this one
10:44
Crawford is finally producing in the high minors, and then you've got Herrera, Hoskins, Altherr...
Phillies aren't close, but they might be close to having a way more optimistic picture
Darlos Canger
10:45
What's to be done with Zack Cozart? Should the Reds take what they can get for him? Is a qualifying offer foolish? Let him ride out the season and walk for nothing? Kind of a tough situation
Jeff Sullivan
10:46
Honestly, while I know that Cozart probably isn't true QO material, I think I'd just give him one anyway. He's a fine player, it's not going to cripple them, and they need major-league talent just to stay somewhat afloat
Bruce Bocce
10:47
Bradley Zimmer has had a rough month. Is this rookie growing pain or has he been figured out?
Jeff Sullivan
10:47
Naquin'd
10:48
He was good enough in July that it wouldn't make sense for him to suddenly be bad now, but this is why you don't want to get *too* excited about rookies through just half of one season
Bubba
10:49
Odds Stanton hits 60?
Jeff Sullivan
10:49
Lots of bad pitching ahead. He's got a good chance
Honeywell
10:50
Why wont the Rays dip into my well of honey?
Jeff Sullivan
10:50
This sounds disgusting
10:51
I imagine it's just a matter of trying to manage his work-stress levels. Don't want to put too much pressure on him as his innings mount
Brian
10:52
Flags fly forever but the Heyward and Zobrist contracts have been awful
Jeff Sullivan
10:52
Zobrist was a 4-WAR player last season
His contract is worth $56 million. In Year 1, he was worth easily more than half of that
10:53
He literally hit Game 7's go-ahead double
Ben Zobrist is a god damn Chicago-area hero
Paul
10:54
Is the effect of year-to-year pitchers batting across a lineup under discussed? In the NL, if you look at the aggregate batting average of all pitchers batting for a team on a year to year basis, how significant is any change? What's driving this question is I noticed that last year, the Cubs pitchers collectively averaged about a .180 BA. This year they're at .120. That .060 point drop would be significant if it was for a singular hitter and could explain why a lineup struggles. Is that a real issue for NL teams, or have I committed a grave statistical sin averaging all pitcher's BAs that renders this question moot? Thanks!
Jeff Sullivan
10:55
Cubs pitchers are going to end up about one win less valuable, as batters, than they were a season ago
That's not nothing, but the effect of the worse performance is mitigated by the limited number of plate appearances, and the relatively low leverage of those opportunities
Daniel
10:56
How does Yasiel Puig have a -7.0 BsR?  Seems like it destroys his WAR number
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