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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 8/26/16
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Tuffy
11:07
Would the Cubs have been any better this year with Schwarber?
Jeff Sullivan
11:07
No meaningfully so, I don't think
12 to 6
11:07
Thoughts on the the White Sox stadium being renamed?
Jeff Sullivan
11:08
Given enough money, nobody cares about being a punchline
Moltar
11:08
True or False, the Mets will throw money at Wilson Ramos this offseason in the hopes he will be the anti-Murphy
Jeff Sullivan
11:08
I'll go with false. They'll be too preoccupied with Cespedes
Jordan
11:08
Jeff, what kind of climbing do you prefer? And what grade do you climb?
Jeff Sullivan
11:09
I like bouldering. Been doing it for four years or so now. It's objectively stupid because every boulderer gets hurt but I love that you can just boulder or scramble anywhere. Spent last weekend in the Tatoosh range south of Rainier and some of the exposed climbing was fantastic and terrifying!
Andrew
11:09
Regarding MVP voting - I don't get the argument which suggests that you can't be "most valuable" if your team misses the postseason. Isn't it counter-intuitive in a way? Mike Trout accounts for a far greater % of his team's wins than, say, Mookie Betts does...doesn't that make him more valuable?
Jeff Sullivan
11:10
I basically agree with your perspective, but the other perspective essentially argues that the point is making the playoffs and winning the World Series, and if a team doesn't have any shot at the World Series then what does performance accomplish, really?
Dan
11:10
Follow-up to clutch: I get that it tells us what happened, but we already know Bryant is really good. Since it is not predictive of future performance, isn't it still fair that in a high leverage situation going forward, we would still want Bryant up to bat? The stark difference between 2015 / 2016 clutch doesn't inform my thought going forward, right?
Jeff Sullivan
11:11
For sure. Kris Bryant is wonderful. In any given situation going forward, you should expect him to be wonderful
What this year's Clutch does is reframe his overall 2016 hitting statistics. Those statistics imply that he's been a certain amount of valuable. When you break it down situationally, he's been less valuable to the Cubs than you would think
Moltar
11:11
In chrome, go to Settings > Advanced > Privacy > Content Settings > Plugins > select "let me choose when to run plugins" (This effectively turns off all plug-in based ads and replaces them with mobile-friendly ads. Everything runs super smoothly without using an adblocker, haven't had a problem since)
Jeff Sullivan
11:12
I choose to believe and endorse this advice!
Stacks
11:12
Is Johnny Bench literally Gary Sanchez reincarnated?
Jeff Sullivan
11:12
Now we're talking
Christian
11:12
Will we see any uptick in waiver trades now that we're in the last week of August or is this pretty much it?
Jeff Sullivan
11:12
In August we pretty much never see anything real interesting
Giancarlo Stanton
11:13
Will I ever play a full season?
Jeff Sullivan
11:13
man do I ever hope so
John Coppollela
11:13
Have I put too many of my eggs in the pitching prospect basket? Is this rebuild going to be more painful than I anticipated?
Jeff Sullivan
11:13
Impossible to know, right? Pitchers come with a ton of volatility. Hitters are safer. The Braves' approach comes with extreme upside and extreme downside.
Dan
11:14
Isn't there some sort of clutch...regression? Seems resaonable that Bryant is the WORST clutch player. If that's reasonably true, he's actually worth MORE than whatever fWAR he has thus far?
Jeff Sullivan
11:14
fWAR doesn't care about Clutch or situational performance
Albert Pujols
11:15
Saw an argument about who's had the better career, me or David Ortiz. Should I be insulted? Numbers aside, I didn't fail a drug test, won multiple MVPs, AND I spent most of my career playing defense.
Jeff Sullivan
11:16
Statistically, Pujols has had the way better career. They're not even in the same solar system. There's no argument to be had. But if you want to look at things from a personal perspective, Ortiz is beloved and he's a multi-year world champion. I don't think there's anything David Ortiz would want to change.
12 to 6
11:16
Does Jered Weaver retire at the end of the season?
Jeff Sullivan
11:16
I increasingly think so
Jasperdog
11:17
D-back front office IS that stupid to not realize the Miller service time implications.
Jeff Sullivan
11:17
That's true
11:18
When everyone gets fired it's sure going to be obnoxious when the Slate people come out with their pieces on a lack of front-office diversity. Totally a worthwhile conversation! But Dave Stewart and everyone are bad at their jobs. That's it. That's the whole story
Antonio
11:18
Are there empirical ways we can evaluate MLB managers/coaches as there are to players (WAR, etc.) ?
Jeff Sullivan
11:18
Unfortunately no, not anything good
Tyler
11:18
Is this season just an off year for Jason Heyward, or do you think this is the beginning of a steep decline in production for the rest of his career?
Jeff Sullivan
11:18
I mean, this wouldn't even be the beginning, right? This would be the *end*.
11:19
I think Heyward bounces back in a big way next year, but I still don't think he'll be the hitter he used to be.
doubletap
11:19
Albert Pujols is also a multi-year World Champion (06 and 11)
Jeff Sullivan
11:20
Yeah, but Ortiz still beats him three to two. Again, I think Pujols has been hugely, absurdly better. But Ortiz will retire plenty content
All right, I need to get rolling now
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