JotCast | Kiley McDaniel Chat

Kiley McDaniel Chat - 3/27/19

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Kiley McDaniel

12:48

Nope. Alonso should've been up last September. Tatis should be easy enough to send down or extend later. Also, good for fans and players and happiness and trying to win, so that's the tiebreaker

Your padre’s padre

12:48

do teams overlook the good PR generated from calling a highly touted prospect up early? Even if Tatis walks a year early, I think they made the right decision.

Kiley McDaniel

12:49

Well if he turns into Manny Machado, they don't demote/extend and they don't contend this year, then obviously the PR isn't worth it. But those three together are pretty unlikely right now.

Weenie

12:49

Is Pablo Lopez a 50 FV if he were still a prospect?

Kiley McDaniel

12:49

Nope, but only because he changed this spring and we've only seen it in exhibition games. After a month or two, he may very well be

Bob

12:49

How unusual is it for a college pitcher like Daniel Lynch see his stuff tick up in the pros that dramatically? Is it #2/3 starter upside or more #3/4?

Kiley McDaniel

12:51

Probably a 3. And it's more common at places that don't handle pitchers well/try to throw them all in a box, which UVA does and Lynch was fighting that in his draft year when he improved.

Hi Kiley

12:51

Al Avila recently said the Tigers prospect he's most excited about is Parker Meadows. I know he's got some good raw tools, but what do you see his peak looking like? What are the big obstacles he'll have to overcome to get there?

Kiley McDaniel

12:51

Questions on the hit tool, related to his timing, big frame, general feel to hit. Raw is plus, speed is plus plus, it's huge upside. Brad Zimmer is a similar type.

greg

12:53

Nick Senzel can't catch a break

Kiley McDaniel

12:53

no kidding

Jason

12:54

Why do some teams wait to place players on IL? For example, why isn't Lance McCullers on the 60-day, yet? Do they wait til Opening Day? Wouldn't it be more better to use the extra 40-man spot?

Kiley McDaniel

12:55

You can't DFA a player (10 day period to make a decision) unless you're at 40, otherwise just typical 48-hour waivers without a chance at a trade. Those guys that randomly get moved to the 60-day in the middle of the season is the club is waiting until they really need that 40-man spot

Nelson

12:55

How come Matthew Thompson keeps dropping?

Kiley McDaniel

12:56

Velo has varied a good bit and still more thrower than pitcher. Lots of intriguing pieces but hasn't made a ton of progress while other guys are.

John

12:57

Um, it's Liover Peguero

Kiley McDaniel

12:57

Another DBacks sleeper, but a little lower on the list

FTat

12:58

Padres said eff it to the service time manipulation and are starting Tatis Jr opening day. Will this start a new trend in MLB? Are they going to sign Tatis to an extension as we have seen with some other prospects?

Kiley McDaniel

12:59

Preller is one of the more traditional GMs, so he would probably be top of the list if I had to guess who would do something like this first. Many, like over half, of the GMs skew heavily to the hedge fund managers end of the spectrum and would never do this and gladly lie to our faces about why. And it's probably a smarter business decision, if you're just looking at a spreadsheet; there's a reason this Tatis thing is catching people's attention.

12:59

What's cooking?

Kiley McDaniel

1:00

Went pretty healthy with roasted veggies but cut up some sausage, garlic, shallots and whatnot to mix in a bowl, some avocado

Johnny

1:00

Any early high school names with signability concerns?

Kiley McDaniel

1:02

Jack Leiter, Joe Charles, Jerrion Ealy, Spencer Jones

Reid

1:02

Hi Kiley, thanks for the chat. You and Eric often get the question of how to best apportion tool grades for prospects given a set maximum number of points, and for hitters its always a 80 hit, 80 power, and 20 run first baseman. I'm curious what that would look like for a pitching prospect. Are you giving him two 80 grade pitches, a crappy changeup and meh command? Are you maxing out his command and giving him one elite pitch?

Kiley McDaniel

1:03

Yeah, guys like Mariano Rivera and Dallas Keuchel and Kyle Hendricks have shown various ways you can get by with one really good pitch and command before the gaudy pitch grade types

Tommy Hunter Bishop

1:08

What did Rutschman do to improve so drastically from frosh to soph year?

Kiley McDaniel

1:09

His numbers improved a lot, but he was in the top 20-30 college players in his class the moment he walked on campus. Turned down high six, possibly low seven figures out of high school despite limited high level reps. He improved his receiving and hitting, but it was first round tools years ago

Tommy Hunter Bishop

1:10

Yordis Valdes is a new-ish name on the board. What's his game like?

Kiley McDaniel

1:11

I'll see him a few weeks when I head down to FL but you should be following the @FG_Prospects account!

Another update to the draft lists, headlined by a popup SS & we're now at 250 total players on the 2019 rankings.… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…

Childish Bambino

1:11

In the vein of the Nationals "having a type" - which injury-related-slide guy gets to them this year?

Kiley McDaniel

1:12

They don't just sign Boras-advised players in the big leagues at a staggering rate, though we won't tell you who is advised by whom until after they sign

Hello

1:12

Thoughts on Simeon R-W starting in full-season A?

Kiley McDaniel

1:12

I'm going to go see him sooner than later

1:12

Is Kyren Paris a top 10 pick at this point?

Kiley McDaniel

1:13

Comp to 2nd right now, Eric should be tracking him down soon

Ouchie

1:13

Oh don’t mind me I’m still wincing from hearing about Steven Souza Jr.’s injury

Kiley McDaniel

1:15

Yeah that one was gruesome to even seen in type on twitter. I took an athletic training class in HS and they called the ACL/MCL/meniscus tear the unhappy triad as kinda like the worst thing that can reasonably happen...and this may be worse than that?

Seymour

1:15

What can you tell us about Jasson Dominguez that we haven't already read from you?

Kiley McDaniel

1:16

Feel like we already told you everything you need to know before he signs?

For those curious, he's 50 FV prospect that's eligible to sign on July 2nd from the Dominican. Could be well inside the top 100 on the day he signs, likely with the Yankees (wink): https://blogs.fangraphs.com/updated-july-2-prospect-rankings/

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