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Klawchat 9/21/17
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Robert
1:25
Do you think Duggar or Bryan Reynolds would be a better fit for CF at AT&T park in S.F.? Thanks
Keith Law
1:25
Reynolds, I think. Both are interesting, with some upside. I've seen Reynolds more in CF and believe he can play it.
Miguel
1:25
Do you think Eric Hosmer is an upgrade over Brandon Belt? Belt walks a ton more and rates as a much better fielder but on the Baseball Tonight podcast Buster and Kurkjian were saying the Giants should dump Belt for Hosmer. Are they forgetting Hosmer had a negative WAR just last year?
Keith Law
1:27
Hosmer's 2017 season is an enormous outlier compared to the rest of his career; even with this year, Belt has nearly twice the career WAR. I don't think a reasonable projection for each player has Hosmer as an upgrade - certainly not enough of one to justify paying him a premium, selling low on Belt, and probably ceding a draft pick.
JOD
1:27
Thoughts on the AL CY race? See arguments both ways re Sale vs. Kluber. To me it matters Sale has made 4 more starts, and it shouldn't be held against him since Kluber's made fewer starts and has a lower ERA.
Keith Law
1:27
Kluber for me but I don't feel strongly about it. Either is deserving.
Andres
1:27
Thoughts on Slotface's new release?
Keith Law
1:27
Liked most of it. They should be getting a lot more airplay/attention here than they are.
Scott
1:28
Nobody ever talks about Tom Eshelman, probably because he barely cracks 90 mph. But unlike Nick Pivetta, for example, who throws 95, Eshelman doesn't walk anyone or give up home runs. Do you think he can be an effective big league starter? If so, what's his ceiling?
Keith Law
1:28
He doesn't give up home runs *in the minors*. We'll see if Eshelman can avoid giving up home runs when sitting 87-88 against big league hitters.
Marty
1:28
Will we finally see netting down the lines at all stadiums, after what happened in NY yesterday? Why does it always take a tragedy/near tragedy  for people to wake up about something so obvious?
Keith Law
1:28
I hope so. Otherwise we're saying "we'll just wait until a fan dies."
Hinkie
1:29
I know the 2018 draft is going to be loaded with pitching, but I'd like your thoughts on a couple of hitters ... 1 college, 1 prep.  Are  Jeremy Eierman and/or Nolan Gorman the type of players good enough to be top 5 picks ?
Keith Law
1:29
Think that's probably optimistic on both.
Alex
1:29
Do you really think Braves trade Ender Inciarte?
Keith Law
1:29
I never said I thought they would; I said I thought they should.
Steve
1:29
Hi Keith, have you read any NK Jemisin? I just finished The Inheritance trilogy and it was beautiful.
Keith Law
1:29
I've read The Fifth Season and really liked it.
Pat D
1:29
Have to play devil's advocate here a little.  ESPN ultimately fired Curt Schilling for a history of saying "controversial" things.  Jemelle Hill has a similar history, not as extensive, perhaps, yet she was not fired.  Doesn't this help fuel the ESPN bias narrative that certain people love to perpetuate?
Keith Law
1:30
"Controversial" is quite the euphemism. The devil deserves a better advocate than you.
Great Big Little Panther
1:30
How often do you go to a minor league or amateur game to scout a known prospect, but come away more impressed by a relatively unknown player?
Keith Law
1:30
Almost never.
Pat
1:30
Have you heard anything about the severity of Sedlock's "forearm" injury? Was a disaster this year, then got hurt (though maybe the injury caused the ineffectiveness).
Keith Law
1:30
Not really, just heard he wasn't coming back. Add him to the pile of young arms littering the site of I-895.
Ethan
1:31
Do you see Otani coming over now for less money, or waiting for big payday? Does the lower price tag make it any more likely that a team with a lower payroll could actually end up signing him?
Keith Law
1:31
I think it's more likely he waits, given the cap, the ankle injury, and the fact that he hasn't even hired an agent yet.
Alex
1:31
Is the ceiling of Bryse Wilson really higher than Mike Soroka?
Keith Law
1:31
I think it is.
Kirby Puckett & The Union Gap
1:31
Devers has made a bunch of errors lately, & his fielding percentage has fallen almost to Ryan Braun level.  just a slump, or cause for concern?
Keith Law
1:31
If you want to talk about a player's error total, you're in the wrong chat, pal.
Matt
1:32
Is there any chance Judge can still win the MVP? Maybe if the Yankees win the division with him breaking McGuire's rookie hat record home run record? Or does Altuve have it locked up?
Keith Law
1:32
Altuve should have it locked up, but narratives do affect the voting. Maybe some nitwit will argue the Astros were so good that they didn't need Altuve.
Brett
1:32
As of 9/21/17, do you foresee Acuna or Eloy being higher on your 2018 Top 100 list?
Keith Law
1:32
I would refer back to my top 50 list in July, which contained both players.
Ben
1:32
I've always loved popular science books like Asimov, Sagan, Gamow, Feynman and others. Have you read any good recent science books that you'd recommend?
Keith Law
1:33
Ed Yong's I Contain Multitudes is the best book in that genre I've read this year.
Lumin
1:33
Are you evaluating prospects' future hit/power tools (or even pitchers' FB rate) differently in the juiced-but-still-standard ball era?
Keith Law
1:34
No, because I think (without clear proof) that the scale should hold - that the rising tide lifts all boats. I haven't seen, for example, why certain players would get a larger boost to their power outputs than others. If I saw such evidence, however, I would make that change.
CJ
1:34
It's a SSS, obviously, but J.P. Crawford went from 0 walks, 7 Ks in his first 6 games to 7 walks, 7 Ks in his next 8 games. Is the latter sustainable for a player as young as he is?
Keith Law
1:35
When I saw him prior to this year, his at bats were consistently good, even when the outcomes weren't. He didn't mind hitting with two strikes, and he seemed to really understand the outer edge of his zone. For whatever reason, that fell apart in the first half of this year, and I haven't gotten a satisfactory explanation for it. But what he's done the last week-plus, and what I specifically saw him do Tuesday night, looks much more like the guy I rated as a top-5 prospect the last two winters.
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