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MLBTR Chat with Steve Adams 2-23-16
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Steve Adams
3:38
I doubt it. They're not really risking anything financially, and the upside on the deal was pretty sizable. Even if it ends up as a virtual bust for Texas, I still think it was too good an opportunity to pass up from a baseball standpoint. Even 80% of peak Hamilton form would've been an outrageous steal relative to what they're paying him.
Will
3:39
Cardinals sign Desmond, then trade Peralta or Wong? How crazy is this?
Steve Adams
3:40
It's not clear to me that Desmond is a huge upgrade over either player -- though, I'd say his ceiling is higher than that of Peralta at this point. Seems like an unnecessarily complicated course of action, though, especially at this stage of the offseason.
Lou
3:40
Did you guys hire another part-time writer yet?
Steve Adams
3:40
Nope. I believe Tim just sent out second-round interview questions yesterday, so we'll be starting to narrow the field over the course of this week/weekend.
AJ
3:41
Wade Miley in 2016: 15 Wins 9 Losses 3.50 ERA 1.30 WHIP 160 SO in 200 IP?
Steve Adams
3:42
I don't see much of a point to predicting wins/losses for pitchers since they're such arbitrary numbers that don't really reflect any of a pitcher's skills. I'll take the over on his ERA and under on his strikeout percentage and a slight under on innings pitched though.
Matt
3:42
Dansby Swanson being related to a young Derek Jeter. You buy that narrative
Steve Adams
3:43
Comparing anyone to Derek Jeter is just silly, and it's not fair to Swanson to place those expectations on him. I hate seeing scouts, media, anyone do that type of crap. Let him be the first and only Dansby Swanson. If scouts are right about him, that'll be one hell of a player.
AJ Preller
3:43
Will I trade Andrew Cashner at the deadline even if he is pitching horribly again?
Steve Adams
3:44
Didn't trade Kennedy last year, so I don't think we should assume he'll trade Cashner regardless of the player or team's performance.
Michael
3:44
Pineapple and green olives on that pizza, right?
Steve Adams
3:44
Just made that exact pizza (well, plus salami) a week ago at home. 'Twas delicious.
AdamNH
3:44
Ramos stay the closer for fish?
Steve Adams
3:46
I think he'll enter the competition with a leg up due to his prior experience. Plus, as I alluded to in the Osuna/Storen question before, keeping Capps in a setup role suppresses the arbitration price on him, and that should hold real value to the Marlins of all teams.
Wait, was thinking of Capps as a two-plus guy but they're both arb eligible, so that point is rendered somewhat moot, since they're both controlled through 2018. Still think Ramos' experience will give him a leg up.
DFC
3:47
Were you surprised Papelbon stuck with Nats?
Steve Adams
3:47
Not really. It was always difficult to envision someone taking on that personality in a trade.
Clay
3:48
Brief thoughts on the Saunders fit with halos?
Steve Adams
3:49
A healthy Saunders is rare, but when he's on he's a really nice player. Maybe some of that value is diminished if his knee injury has impacted his outfield range, but I like him as a low-cost roll of the dice. Then again, I've said on the Podcast previously that I'm not as down on the incumbent Gentry/Nava platoon as most and think second base is a considerably bigger need for the Halos.
Chris
3:49
In ref to the part of the Chapman Q you didnt answer above, do you think part of the Yankees' calculus was that it was worth the risk bc his suspension would be short enough (20 games or so) not to hurt them, or long enough that theyd keep him for an extra yr anyway?
Steve Adams
3:51
I think they just looked at the prospect cost they'd have to part with, saw it was negligible and took the plunge on the deal. It puts Girardi in one hell of an awkward spot trying to defend his player while also fielding questions on the severity of the allegations against him and the looming specter of a suspension. I don't envy him for that, and I have a hard time getting behind the concept of buying low on a player who's stock is down due to the types of things of which Chapman was accused.
Farq
3:51
Is Desmond really not worth a clubs first round pick?
Steve Adams
3:52
I think teams, in general, are overvaluing draft picks, frankly. I understand the reasons for placing a premium on them, but if you're a team looking to win now -- especially in the NL, where a third of the league or more doesn't have a chance at contending -- make the moves to help you win now.
Jim
3:53
Do you participate in fantasy baseball?
Steve Adams
3:54
I'm an avid fantasy baseball player and also contribute to the MLB.com fantasy department during the regular season (and some in the offseason as well)
Bob
3:54
What do you think of the PECOTA projected standings, specifically the rather low win totals for KC, STL, and PIT?
Steve Adams
3:55
Honestly, I think it's kind of silly that people get worked up over them. Projection systems are never going to be 100% correct, but that's not their intent, and if you stack up PECOTA against human projections on a year-to-year basis, PECOTA is going to win on the whole, even if it won't catch outlier seasons that some humans might otherwise predict.
3:56
Ok -- I'm up to 90+ minutes on this one and need to wrap it up for the week. Thank you all for participating, as always. We'll do it again next week, and please do feel free to ask followups on Twitter (@Adams_Steve) or via the MLBTR Mailbag: mlbtrmailbag@gmail.com.
Enjoy the rest of your week!
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