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GK
12:23
Thoughts on Dominic Smith? 155 wRC+ this month
Travis Sawchik
12:24
Well, not everything has gone badly for the Mets  recently
StreakingIsFun
12:24
Re: underperfoming- of course they haven't recently. I just thought it spoke to the shear dominance of the streak. You'd expect a 22 game win streak to contain enough positive sequencing/luck to nudge they're real life W/L closer to the expected
Travis Sawchik
12:25
That is surprising considering the dominance of The Streak
Kyle
12:26
SOUTH HILLS – So the Pirates gave everyone in  Western Pennsylvania an early Christmas gift by agreeing to a three-year, $26 million deal with Ivan Nova today.

This appears to be an excellent contract for the Pirates.

nOvaRain
If Nova is just Nova. It’s not a bad deal. If he’s Happ 2.0 it’s the steal of the offseason (Horner photo)


At $8.7 million per annum, the dollars are well less than what many predicted Nova would receive in a weak free agent market for pitching, where Nova was regarded as one of the better arms available.

MLB Trade Rumors predicted a four-year, $52 million deal for Nova earlier this offseason.

The FanGraphs crowd-sourced  prediction averaged three years, $43 million pact.

The Pirates’ deal with Nova, of course, comes in well below that.

With a Win Above Replacement thought to be valued somewhere around $8M on the open market, the Pirates are basically paying Nova to be what he’s been during his a career: a back-of-the rotation starter.

In his six full MLB s
Travis Sawchik
12:26
Hey, who wrote that? ;)
But at 1.8 fWAR, 2017 has produced surplus value for the Pirates ... but it has been a lopsided campaign
12:27
Nova is owed $17 million combined over the next two years, still a reasonable deal
HoskinsSmash
12:28
Say things about Rhys Hoskins, please.
Travis Sawchik
12:28
If you'd like to be closer to Hoskins, the Phillies are advertising front office positions at FanGraphs dot com
12:29
2.2 fWAR in 37 games isn't bad
Anthony
12:29
Who would you consider to be baseball's most underrated player?
Travis Sawchik
12:29
Is Jose Ramirez still underrated?
Otani Danza
12:30
I can almost smell the freshly cut grass of Arizona in early 2018.  I hope I own an Otani jersey in my favorite colors by then.
Travis Sawchik
12:30
Good luck!
JDM
12:30
Which NL team would I have more impact for in 2018? The Giants (because they have a weak offense) or the Nationals (because they have a great offense this maximizing the value of my hrs and getting me more at bats)?
Travis Sawchik
12:31
In the grand scheme of things, the Nats, because they are the better team and overwhelming firepower might help them push late into October in Bryce Harper's likely final Beltway season
Q-Ball
12:32
Cubs owe Jon Lester 3/75 after this year, with a 10/25 team option.  Would Lester command that as a FA, in your opinion, or is that underwater at this point?
Travis Sawchik
12:32
I think we are nearing water level .... with a strong chance of going under. Those are his age 34-36 + 37 seasons
Matt
12:33
I don't disagree with your logic of "what happened" for awards voting. But, devil's advocate - are you saying that of two hypothetical pitchers that executed at equal levels, but with differing defensive abilities behind them (assuming the difference isn't in errors, but fringe plays), the one with the better defense should get the award? And thus by extension, that if the one with the worse defense executed at a slightly better level, but not such that it cancelled out the defense, that he should lose out as well?
Travis Sawchik
12:35
Great question, and I had a Cy Young vote in 2015 when it was a close race between Greinke/Kershaw/Arrieta .... and I considered elements like catcher framing when voting for Arrieta. In a close race, more context is required
Q-Ball
12:35
What do you do if you are the Giants this offseason?  Posey and MadBum are a great start, but many holes to fill, and not much young talent...
Travis Sawchik
12:36
I like Belt and Crawford, too .... but there's work to be done. Giants could try to spend their way back into contention but that division is pretty tough
Dipoto Interiors
12:36
If you had a house, and Jerry Dipoto was your interior decorator, and you went away for the winter and said it would be okay if Jerry tried to "fix it up a little" for Spring, do you have any confidence you will be able to find the toilet in the dark?
Travis Sawchik
12:37
No. But that mean I won't like what he has done with the place
KW
12:38
How in the world will an NL team convince Otani to play for them? Would team really risk playing an ace-caliber pitcher in LF in order to get his bat into the lineup?
Travis Sawchik
12:39
NL would seem to be at a disadvantage in bidding. (Maybe Otani is like a Gold Glove OF, too). If his bat is good enough, teams would find a place it
StreakingIsFun
12:39
What are the chances you are still in Bay Village when the Browns win their 22nd game (from today)? Also- have you been to Great Lakes Brewing's brewpub in Ohio City yet? They have a wonderful local menu (and great beer, of course)!
Travis Sawchik
12:40
Maybe I'm misguided but I actually like what the Browns are doing, I think they have double draft picks in every round next year .... just gotta find a one position (QB) in the NFL. ... Thanks for the rec. It's on the list
Dirty Birds
12:40
Devil's advocate to Matt's devil's advocate: FIP likely isnt a perfect formula. Run prevention is at least defensible because it requires zero guesswork?
Travis Sawchik
12:40
There are certainly defensible aspects of pure run prevention
McRatSandwich
12:40
Any reason why most home-team dugouts are on the 3rd-base side?
Travis Sawchik
12:41
To not be in the afternoon sunlight during day games? I'm not sure. I think that might be why
Slapshot
12:41
Speaking of underwater deals, the Cubs have to be regretting the Jason Heyward deal now, right?  Wouldn't they much rather have that money stashed aside to chase Harper?
Travis Sawchik
12:42
In retrospect, yes, of course. .... Spending big in FA is dangerous markets of all sizes
Greg Allen
12:43
Am I in uniform for the Tribe in October?
Travis Sawchik
12:44
I think so, for the speed ... and maybe the defense in CF. Although there seem to be differing opinions on how effective he is in center
bk
12:44
Re: Cubs Underwater deals - They regret nothing.  They did what they needed to do.  Won a WS
Travis Sawchik
12:44
Flags Fly Forever ... but teams want to win as many flags as possible, right?
SadSadMetsSadSad...sad?
12:44
What's the absolute highest ceiling for Otani in the Majors?  With his two way play could he literally have a 12 win season if he hits his 90th percentile outcomes in all aspects of his game?
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