JotCast | MLBTR Live Chat with Steve Adams -- 9/6/16

MLBTR Live Chat with Steve Adams -- 9/6/16

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Steve Adams

3:02

Ahoy, universe.

3:03

Let us allow this chat to commence.

Brett

3:03

Whats up

Steve Adams

3:03

OH YOU KNOW JUST HANGING OUT

That oughta do it for this week. Thanks everyone.

I kid! Let's start in earnest.

Dodger fan

3:03

Should the Dodgers extend rich hill?

Steve Adams

3:05

Dude's made two starts since the end of May. I love this revamped version of Hill, but if he was really looking for 2/28 from the A's in an extension, I don't know that I blame them for trading him. If he's in the 2/16 to 2/20 range, I'd give it more consideration.

I suppose for the Dodgers and their limitless funds, though, $14MM per year isn't all that much, and a really really good pitcher doesn't need to throw that much to justify that salary in today's market.

3:06

If they feel reasonably comfortable that he can throw 100-120 innings per season, even, and he's looking $12-14MM per year, I'd say the Dodgers can afford to do it. Answer would probably be different for another club with more limited resources.

JR

3:06

Will Allen Craig ever get another chance?

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Steve Adams

3:07

Does he really deserve one? He hasn't hit even at Triple-A in the past two seasons and spent most of the year out with injuries in 2016. If he hits his way back into the Majors, sure, but there's no indication that's even remotely likely right now.

Bravos

3:07

Do you see the Braves as contenders for any of this offseason's top free agents?

Steve Adams

3:07

I think they'll be in on all of the catchers, including Wilson Ramos, who meets your specified criteria. So yes! Yes I do.

metfan16

3:07

Do the Mets sell low on Harvey this winter just to get something for him?

Steve Adams

3:08

Why on earth would you trade someone with Harvey's upside when his value is at utter rock bottom? That's a quick way for a GM to lose his job. It's not like he's costing them a lot of money or anything.

Petet

3:08

Has Byron Buxton finally arrived?

Steve Adams

3:09

Best he's looked in the Majors so far, but it's been what? Five games? It's exciting, and his approach at the plate seems to have improved from the at-bats I've watched, but I wouldn't proclaim him a sure thing or anything based on one terrific weekend.

Pavement Layer

3:09

Where do you see JD Martinez going once he becomes a FA after next season?

Steve Adams

3:10

I consider it a good offseason if I get like 10 of our top 50 in the yearly Free Agent Prediction Contest, and you want me to pick where someone's going to go after NEXT season?

The honest answer is there's no real way of knowing that, and if someone claims to have a good idea of where he'll end up, they're not being genuine.

Jason

3:11

Does Mark Trumbo re-sign with the Orioles?

Steve Adams

3:13

My assumption is he signs somewhere else. Good as he's been at the plate in Baltimore, he's not an ideal fit there since they already have Davis at first base. Trumbo's been a nice value at about $9MM, but if you pay the guy $14-16MM annually and see his walk rate or homer-to-flyball rate regress to previous levels -- and some regression should always be expected off a substantial career-high -- then you're left paying a slightly above-average bat that money when he's giving back a lot of his value on defense.

3:14

He should go somewhere that has first base open, and the Orioles should collect a much-needed draft pick to get some form of upside into their depleted farm.

NYTT

3:14

Does Travis Shaw become available this off season? I'd like to see the Braves use one of their ML ready, backend of the rotation, controllable arms to swing a trade there.

Steve Adams

3:15

Yeah I think Shaw will be available this winter, and I don't mind the Braves as a fit. Probably still need a platoon partner for him, though maybe they feel they have that in Adoins.

Adonis*

Pedro Alvarez

3:15

What kinda contract do I get?

Steve Adams

3:16

I'd say you should call it a win if you get Kendrys Morales money (2/17ish), but Billy Butler somehow landed 3/30, so anything is possible. That Butler deal is the ceiling for me, though, and I'd still project closer to the Morales deal.

Bartolo

3:16

Can I get a 2 year deal next year? Will the Mets give me one?

Steve Adams

3:17

At 43 (44 next May), Bartolo would be a surprising two-year deal for me. He can get a nice raise on this year's one-year salary though. Something like 1/10 or 1/12 seems plausible. Maybe some form of vesting option if he wants the chance to play his way into a second year.

Sandy Alderson

3:17

Are Seth Lugo or Robert Gsellman legit, and if so who has the higher upside in either trade or rotation projection?

Steve Adams

3:18

Lugo's curveball has the highest RPM of any curve in the Majors and it's not even close. I think he's a legitimate back-end starter. He's not a sub-3.00 ERA guy like he's been, but I think he can post an upper-3.00s ERA over the course of a full season. Less sold on Gsellman. I like Lugo better between the pair.

Kris Bryant

3:18

I have the M.V.P. locked up, right?

Steve Adams

3:19

I wouldn't say locked up, but Bryant would get my vote if the season ended today (and if I had a vote, ha). A huge finish from Seager and a late fade from Bryant could change the outlook though. They've both been incredible.

Pedro

3:19

Do you get press credentials at any games?

Steve Adams

3:20

MLBTR doesn't send reporters to regular season games, so no. We do have credentialed guys on hand at the Winter Meetings, GM Meetings and during Spring Training.

Nostradamus

3:20

Trumbo to Rockies? Tons of Homers?

Steve Adams

3:21

That'd be fun, and the Rox could use a right-handed-hitting first baseman. In a winter where there's no pitching to spend on anyway, I don't mind that fit at all.

M.J.

3:21

Why do some fans hate the 40 man call-ups in September? Personally, I love it because (1) it gives teams a chance to rest players before the playoffs and (2) it gives a chance for younger players to get their feet wet, so to speak, at the big league level.

Steve Adams

3:22

I think the simple fact that September genuinely morphs the way in which the game is played. Managers can be much more aggressive with pitching changes and playing matchups. Plus, if your favorite team is in a close race and you see the team chasing yours (or the team your favorite club is chasing) go up against some AAA kid with a bunch of replacement-level players supporting him in the lineup, it's frustrating.

3:23

I don't mind the notion of September call-ups, but I do think it's very strange that the baseball schedule's current structure effectively mandates that five months of the season are played one way and the sixth and final is a completely different animal. I'd like to see more regulation

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