JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 7/13/20

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 7/13/20

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Jon

2:48

The Ray's are my team, but I've never noticed the camera angle. What do you mean?

Ben Clemens

2:48

So, I like the dead center angles the most

Because it's the truest look at a pitcher's movement

And theirs has just the perfect amount of height where it doesn't feel like you're peering down from above, but hte pitcher's upper body also doesn't block the strike zone

Roger

2:49

Do you have a preference among the contending ownership groups for the Mets?

Ben Clemens

2:49

I think the JLo/ARod group would be funniest

laughing

1

2:50

If you want the Mets to win, I'd assume you want the SAC group

That said, I haven't done a ton of digging into the particulars

And I'm probably biased on how well I think a hedge fund type would do running a team due to previous work experience in finance

DC

2:50

What is Robert's trade value in a dynasty league? Currently own him and have had a couple owners aggressively offering over the past week. Who would you take in a one-for-one swap or what kind of package would you be looking to get in return? I'm generally a swap prospects for established stars kind of player as my team is currently top 3 in the league, but I'm hesitant to do anything in this strange season.

Ben Clemens

2:51

I'll warn you upfront that I don't currently play in any dynasty leagues, though I'm planning on starting -- probably next year rather than this year given the stupid season

2:52

That said I'm down on Robert's long-term value as a fantasy player. If I could get a star outfielder in their late prime, I think I'd do it? I don't have a great handle on dynasty valuations to know exactly who that would be, but I'd just be looking to make a deal I guess

Sorry that that's annoyingly vague, such is life when I don't really known what I'm talking about

Guest

2:52

do you think the blue jays let pearson pitch from the get go?

Ben Clemens

2:52

I do not

2:53

I think they are going to wait 10-15 days and see where they are

If they hvae a winning record, go nuts

If they're like 3-12, nah

Guest

2:54

what do you think McCullers does for the astros this yr? If he can re gain form lessens the blow of losing Cole for sure right?

Ben Clemens

2:54

I mean, it helps. More pitching always helps

Peak McCullers is not as good as Cole, but if he's back to his 2017 form, that's basically a free top end starter for them

Which is huge

2:55

I think he'll shove, I'm a big McCullers fan, but I don't think he'll ever be the kind of 6-7 inning guy that Cole was. I think they're right to treat him as an elite performance short outings kinda guy

Marko from Tropoja

2:55

Re: Kershaw, I agree with most of what you said, but he didn't *need* a CH when his FB was 93-95 and he was putting up sub-2 ERAs and FIPs from 2013-16. I'm a Dodgers fan and have admittedly been spoiled by him, and I think he can consistently be a top-5 pitcher again. I'm just hoping to see a willingness to adapt. He's only 32 ...

Ben Clemens

2:55

Yeah I'm reallllly hoping to see a Kershaw resurgence

I feel like he was taken from us before his time

People lump him in with Scherzer and Verlander but he's significantly younger

I'm just skeptical that a changeup is what unlocks that resurgence

I think a velo spike is more likely

2:56

What worries me about a changeup is that low-velo guys who get by with good changeups are mostly changeup-first guys

And it's just so unlikely that Kershaw is going to suddenly have a changeup better than his curveball

If he has a 50 changeup in him, that would be amazing

2:57

But if it's a 40, I'd rather have him stick to being 4seam/curve to righties

BASEBALL SZN

2:57

Vlad Jr. is moving to 1B at the ripe old age of 21. It was expected that he would eventually, but already? Cause for concern?

Ben Clemens

2:57

Oh for SURE!

Definitely worries me a little

2:58

I'm not worried about the bat, and honestly I'm not that worried about his inability to play third foreshadowing something bad about his development

But I think that part of Vlad's value was that there were maybe 5-10% of scenarios where he'd be an acceptable third baseman with that bat

Or be able to Dom Smith-style fake it in a corner outfield spot or something

1b-only is just a tough value cap

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