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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 1/25/16
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MLB 2K16
12:33
Do you think MLB will ever have a min/max budget for teams to spend? Remember readin something in the past where MLB supposedly encouraged the Marlins to spend more due to their low team salary.
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:33
Probably not.
Skarp Hedin
12:33
Sure. Prospects are cost effective right now. But what if they aren't a scarce commodity? In the sense that it might not be as hard to build or renew a farm as generally thought?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:34
It's a lot easier to get water than it used to be, but that doesn't make water not crucial.
Guest
12:34
If cespedes has another 30-35 hr yr will be get more $ nxt yr given the weaker class?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:34
Depends what kind of 30-35 homer year it is.
12:35
As a general rule, I don't think he'll find the market all that better. He's likely going to be coming off a worse year than 2015 and will be a year older and I don't think a weaker FA market will balance that out.
Tom Brunansky
12:35
I hear that Ryan Kalish has had a pretty good winter playing in Puerto Rico. Odds on a comeback reaching the majors? 100 to 1? He's only 27!
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:36
Better than 100 to 1. Jason Lane even made it back.
TJ
12:36
Who rolls the dice on Cliff Lee ?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:36
I'm not sure how much Cliff Lee is really willing
Matt
12:36
If you were the Red Sox, would you trade Andrew Benintendi and a lower level pitcher for Julio Teheran? Seems to me to be mutually beneficial.
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:36
I think Braves want and get more.
12:37
Yeah, he looks really good so far, but I think they'll do better as an overall package.
Tyler
12:37
With Cespedes off the market, do the nationals look to make a big trade for Lucroy or Cargo?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:37
I think probably no.
Druidiful
12:37
How much faith do you have in the Yankees' staff staying mostly healthy this year?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:37
I don't have faith in any pitchers staying healthy.
Q-Ball
12:37
Dan: Historically, do LHH have more of a same-handedness platoon split than RHH? If so, why is that.....maybe RHH get more practice vs. same-handed pitching?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:38
Lefties tend to have larger platoon splits though the *exact* why is kinda difficult.
While that's a reasonable theory, it's hard to prove.
Noah
12:40
Why do you prefer Cubs rotation over Mets? Once you realize that Lester is a terrible fielder who will do worse than FIP (and Lackey bound for regression), decision seems easy. ZiPS doesn't take into account pitcher fielding (or a pitcher not being able to throw to first).
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:40
Mets will probably get a sizable dose of Colon, I don't think they push Matz too hard, and Wheeler still has uncertainty giving the surgery he's coming off of
Zonk
12:40
Cardinals are in kind of a weird spot, aren't they? Enviable depth, good financial resources, but not a ton of impact talent at the top or on the farm. What direction will this franchise go, in your opinion?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:40
I think they'll fine.
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mtsw
12:41
What lessons can e-sports take from baseball and vice versa? Feel like the fanbases have a lot to teach one another.
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:41
I'd have to think more about that one.
Matt
12:41
Rymer and the Rox sounds like a pretty cool band name, no?
Zonk
12:41
I can't see Rymer getting past the Brewers. Excellent fit there. What say you?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:41
Honestly, I think he gets traded, but the Padres have been weird enough with their decision making that they may not.
GSon
12:42
Who makes a bigger contribution to the Indians this year: Clevinger or Tomlin?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:42
Clevinger. ZiPS may not be high on him, but there's at least a reasonable chance he'll be good.
12:43
Yeah, Tomlin had the reasonable ERA with his mess of a FIP, something he does once in awhile and never sticks.
12:44
I'm probably being too mean, but I'm not a fan.
I guess he could soft-toss his way to a 2 WAR season or something, but Clevinger has the potential to be actually interesting.
Zonk
12:44
Gun to your head, how would you rank the scrum that is the AL Central?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:44
I am calling the police. That is not a proper use of your gun.
Sean
12:45
What is the weirdest or most outlandwish thing that ZiPS uses for its projections?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:45
Not sure there is anything - ZiPS wouldn't work if it went on crazy stuff.
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