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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 8/8/16
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AvatarDan Szymborski
12:03
Boom.
Joe Musgrove
12:04
How'd you get your writing start? I'm wondering for post-mlb work?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:05
Whether or not that's the real Joe Musgrove, I got my writing start arguing with WebTV/AOL Users on usenet, which was kind of the Twitter of the mid-90s.
That also makes me sound really old. Writing really just takes an opinion and practice.
Matt
12:05
Hi Dan. I missed you.
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:05
Now that sounds like a lie.
Matt
12:05
Alex. Rodriguez.
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:05
Please ask your questions in the form of a question.
Josh Nelson
12:05
Will the Twins catch either the Royals or White Sox in the standings?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:05
No
12:06
I mean, it's *possible* but picking up 8 games at this point of the season ain't easy.
Bork
12:06
Hello, friend!
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:06
Didn't you die a few years ago?
Erik
12:06
Should Phillies fans be happy that Nola is hurt? That's much better than him unexplainably underperforming, I would think. Also, does ZiPS know when underperformance is due to injury vs. just being bad? How does that affect projections?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:07
With such a small amount of data, ZiPS is more inclined to look at peripherals.
Matt
12:08
How does zips now feel about hedges, Renfroe, and Margot? Imagine Renfroe bb% doesn't have them overly optimistic
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:09
ZiPS certainly has a history of being a Margot fan. I don't have the other two in front of me -- live chat isn't really a feasible time for running projections.
Jeremy
12:09
How has Baltimore been able to hold off the Jays and Red Sox for this long? I know they mash the ball but that rotation....
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:09
These teams have their weakneesess too! I think the Blue Jays are slightly better than the O's overall though.
Dervish
12:10
Who says no to a Madson-for-Puig swap?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:10
We're talking Ryan, right? Or did I forget another Madson? The Dodgers ought not to do that.
Bork
12:10
The Blue Jays are leading the league in attendance. I thought baseball was America's game? How long until Trump uses this to #MakeAmericaGreatAgain?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:10
The exchange rate has flipped back in US favor in recent years, you need to express it in American fans.
Dervish
12:11
Who says no to a Madson/Puig trade? The A's signed Madson for 3/30 when it looked like their bullpen fire was endless, but Ryan Dull is basically peak Sergio Romo.
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:11
Longer question, but I'm still not seeing the lure of Ryan Madson. Puig stinks right now, but there's real upside.
CamdenWarehouse
12:11
Is this the real Dylan Bundy?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:11
Could very well be. He didn't fall down prospect rankings because his talent got worse, just his health.
Robot
12:12
Who plays Dan in fangraphs the movie?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:13
I think Gary Oldman would capture and makes sense of the internal struggles that torment Dan Szymborski's mind on a daily basis.
Or maybe a fat guy.
Jasperdog
12:13
Liriano looked good in his start Friday; command much better. Is it possible that Martin could make that much of a difference? I know, SSS.
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:14
It could, but I wouldn't go crazy yet
MJ
12:14
Over the past 2 seasons, Devon Travis has accumulated 4.4 WAR over 478 PA, about a 6 WAR pace over a full season (650 PA). That includes a portion of that sample where he was injured (2015) and coming off a long injury layoff (first month of this year or so). What do you think his "true talent" level is? Obviously not a 6 WAR player but something in the 4-5 range seem reasonable?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:14
Would probably still put it in the 3-4 range
Bork
12:14
Dickey's Home/Away splits are insane this year. Think he retires at the end of the year or will he sign with another team?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:14
He's a knuckler, he's got like 10 years left
CamdenWarehouse
12:14
Does the MVP have to play for the team for which he was valuable? If not, I say Brandon Phillips for MVP!
Joe
12:14
Is there a place I can find historical zips preseason projections? I'm working on a project and looking to go back 4 or 5 years if possible.
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:14
Email me.
Dr. Frank Jobe
12:14
Are you excited as I am for the 2019 Yankees/Braves World Series?
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