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Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Dave Cameron
12:01
Happy Wednesday, everyone.
We're a few weeks away from the start of spring training, so we're nearing the end of winter.
Of course, it's snowing at my house right now, so it doesn't feel like it.
12:02
Let's get this party started.
Not a scout
12:04
Bernie Pleskoff thinks Ian Happ is overrated. Only explanation was that he had a bad fall. He OPS'd over .800 in his first full season as a pro even with a bad finish. What are your thoughts on Happ?
Dave Cameron
12:04
Overrated is such a loaded term, because you don't know what the baseline is. Overrated compared to what? How is he being rated?
12:05
Eric put a 55 FV on him in his Cubs list. That doesn't seem outlandish to me.
ChiSox2020
12:06
Who has more trade value: Nate Jones or David Robertson?
Dave Cameron
12:06
Jones
Robertson is mostly a salary dump, though you'd get some kind of prospect for him if you picked up a little bit of the contract.
12:07
Jones has a ton of value. Not quite as the Giles level, but he'd get a big return.
biffyclyro
12:07
With the amount of political screaming and crap that permeates my newsfeed, I'm thinking of dropping Facebook entirely. Can you think of any reason I could possibly regret this decision? It seems like everyone's so busy shouting that no one is listening.
Dave Cameron
12:08
I endorse your decision. Just because someone has been given access to a platform doesn't mean you have to stand there and listen to them yell.
Jack
12:09
What would a potential trade look like between the Rangers and Rays including Profar.
Dave Cameron
12:09
Would have to think Rangers would look for pitching, since TB has lots and TEX does not. But Rays probably better off just moving Miller to 2B and signing a first baseman.
Dan
12:09
Would you rather have Benintendi or G Sanchez as your franchise player?
Dave Cameron
12:10
That's a fun question
I might write a post about that.
Matt
12:10
What do you think is the more egregious (for lack of a better word) part of the punishment levied on the Cards - the fact that the hit to the Cards was relatively light, or the fact that the Astros - through no action of their own - have benefited and are awarded those picks. (Point of the latter being that other teams gotta be a bit peeved, no?)
Dave Cameron
12:11
The Astros didn't benefit; they get a couple of lower-value picks and some mostly meaningless cash in exchange for some pretty seriously negative PR. Given the amount teams spend on their image, Houston came out in the red here.
AbnerDoubleday
12:12
Is a farm system more valuable if the talent is top heavy, or if the system is deep?
Dave Cameron
12:12
You generally would rather have potential stars than a lot of useful parts.
radermecherbob@ymail.com
12:13
Dave,does being the best defensive catcher of his generation,make Yadi Molina,a strong HOF,candidate.
Dave Cameron
12:13
I don't know if he hit enough for long enough to be a strong candidate, but he'll get in.
Omar Vizquel is going to get a lot of support next year, and there's almost no way to argue that Vizquel > Molina.
Ozzie
12:14
Is Rick Hahn right to hold on to Quintana at this point based on the rumored offers from the Astros, Pirates, and Yankees? Does Rick still have the leverage at this point?
Dave Cameron
12:15
It's a risk-reward calculation. By keeping Quintana until the deadline, you're taking on the risk that he gets hurt or devalues himself Sonny Gray style, but if he stays healthy, the price at the deadline should be higher, given the scarcity of other options.
In their case, I'd probably be a bit risk-averse, because you don't want Quintana's value to go to zero.
But keeping him isn't some obvious disaster.
JC
12:16
Hey Dave. I have a hypothesis I'd like to get your take on. With the rise of analytics, we've seen fewer and fewer players get prominent front office jobs over the last 15 years. However, it seems that current players are much more receptive to those numbers than the previous generation. I'm wondering if you think we'll eventually reach a point, 15 or 20 years down the road, where front office trends swing back in the opposite direction and more often than not, a team's GM is a former player. Or do you think that the current era of Ivy League MBAs is going to be how things are run for the foreseeable future?
Dave Cameron
12:17
I don't know that we've seen fewer players get front office jobs; they're just different kinds of jobs. I think the Brian Bannister/Gabe Kapler type of role is only going to grow, as we've seen with the Diamondbacks bringing in Dan Haren and Burke Badenhop this off-season.
12:18
So I think we're going to see curious former players moving more quickly into roles where they can help the front offices communicate with the field staff, and the guys who stand out in those roles will quickly set themselves up for promotion.
Carl
12:18
Do you think Harper was hurt? What are you expecting in 2017?
Dave Cameron
12:19
Yeah, I don't think he was 100% last year. I still think he's in the discussion for best non-Trout hitter in baseball.
Danny
12:19
Bryce Harper playing 81 games at Yankee Stadium compared to a neutral park would add _____ WAR?
Dave Cameron
12:19
0 to +0.25. Most of the bump he'd get from the RF wall would be taken care of in the park effects part of the calculation.
Andrew
12:20
Think the Mets regret the Jay Bruce trade? Think the Mets regret giving up Dilson Herrera?
Dave Cameron
12:20
Not sure they were all that high on Dilson Herrera, but I think they wish they didn't have Bruce and his $13M on the books right now.
Bill G
12:21
It is snowing here in Bend again! We never had this much snow until you moved here. Cause and effect?
Dave Cameron
12:21
Clearly, I'm a snow wizard.
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