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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
2:02
G'day everyone. We're likely to have an annotated chat today as I tie up loose ends before heading to an instructional league double header this afternoon and then to Florida, apologies ahead of time.
Slamboni
2:02
Tyler O'Neill just finished a second consecutive great season. Is it unreasonable to expect he is a big spring away from the bigs? The Seattle OF is nothing to write home about..
Eric A Longenhagen
2:04
Don't think that's unreasonable. He's answered every challenge thrown at him. I have no issues aggressively promoting players who have performed and O'Neill has. If he rakes in Fall League I'd absolutely let him run with the big leaguers next spring and see hot things go.
Sailor Jerry
2:04
Have you seen Ryon Healy this year? Do you think this sort of production is sustainable?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:05
I have. The power is definitely real, it's approaching 7 raw power. I don't think he's going to make as much contact as he has thus far, though.
MetsFan
2:05
Who will be the first 2016 draft prospect to hit the majors?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:05
I'll say Senzel
Omike765
2:05
What's Dakota Hudson's ceiling? Front of rotation?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:06
More mid-rotation for me. Thought he was the second best college arm in the draft, though I understand why some were turned off by the delivery/health. Love that cutter.
Jeb
2:06
Have you heard much about Anderson Tejeda? I read he was easily hitting balls out of Safeco in BP and went oppo during the game. 18 yr old SS are we talking 70 raw power?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:07
Definitely a guy teams were getting in to see before the deadline. In-game bat to ball is pretty raw and he has issues identifying offspeed but the tools are pretty loud. 70 raw? No. He's a solid all-around middle infield prospect, though.
Steve
2:07
What would cause Barreto to move off of SS? Arm, hands, or range?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:09
Range for me, but Oakland might decide to live with subpar D there if it means that bat can play at SS. They've been doing it with Semien.
Austin
2:09
What are your thoughts on Josh Bell? He seems to rake
Eric A Longenhagen
2:09
Yeah he does that, just need to find him somewhere to play.
Undecided
2:09
Your thoughts on Alex Jackson pre-draft?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:10
I thought he was the best prep bat in the draft, future plus hit and plus raw power.
Marky mark
2:10
Any interesting nats prospects to keep an eye out for?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:11
Other than the guys you probably know, I've always liked Sheldon Neuse, I think Blake Perkins is interesting despite a poor statistical season and they had a big International class led by Luis Garcia while Juan Soto has popped up.
Justin
2:11
Is Mitch Keller the next big time prospect for the Pirates? What is his upside?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:12
Maybe not "big time" but yeah, he's good. Low to mid-90s, tight breaking ball. Some don't love the delivery and think there's significant arm deceleration on the changeup. Overall a good prospect but I don't think he's on Taillon, Glasnow, Cole level.
Greg
2:13
When I see prospects slumping at the end of a full season, I tend to assume they must be exhausted since they don't have a long record of playing full seasons and dismiss their slumps as having little meaning. Is this a fair thing to do in the absence of having any direct knowledge?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:14
I think that's fair and I tend to do the same thing. It gives the player the benefit of the doubt, which I think they deserve, and is also just a legitimate variable to consider.
Alex
2:15
Weigel, Allard, Soroka, Fried, Touki. What's your take on the absurd talent to go through Rome this year? How would you rank them?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:16
Fried and Allard probably ahead of the rest, Weigel has monster stuff but is wild, same with Touki. Soroka more sink/pitchability. Would probably have them Fried/Allard (gap) Touuki, Soroka, Weigel right now, but that could change as we get into org lists this offseason and I talk to more people.
Jim
2:17
Why do you let Carson intentionally mispronounce your job title? It kind of makes you seem like a wannabe fratboy rushing a fraternity.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:17
Because I really don't care, Carson is trying to be goofy not malicious. Trust me, if anything made me feel like I was in any kind of frat I'd squash it immediately.
Zonk
2:17
Would you say that the AFL is roughly equivalent to AA? Is that a fair comparison?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:19
That's probably as close as a minor league level comparison as you'll get, yes. But because we're ultimately talking about 6 rosters worth of guys, there is some volatility there. Some years the pitching is more A-ball-ish and the hitters got nuts (remember Dustin Ackley's Fall League) and last year we had like 8 guys throwing 100+ and hitters weren't as dominant.
Undecided
2:20
Who has been your biggest misses? Someone you thought highly of and has underperformed and someone you didn't see much of a prospect in that has overacheived your expectations.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:22
Whiffed on Domonic Brown. Still not sure what the hell happened there.
2:23
The other side of things...not sure. I thought Drew Pomeranz was not good but he added that cutter and had a solid season.
Billy Mumphrey
2:23
Which is the rarest 80 tool?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:24
For position players it's probably their defense, for pitchers probably curveballs.
Zonk
2:24
What farm system, in your opinion, had the best year in terms of internal prospect growth? What prospects really emerged in that system?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:25
Not sure if it's the "best" but just off the top of my head (because, ya know, it's a chat) Minnesota had a bunch of guys perform well this year on the farm. LaMonte Wade, Huascar Ynoa, Luis Arraez...
DR
2:25
I appreciated your glowing words about Tim Corbin some time back. Do scouts sometimes advocate for picking a player based upon the "brand name" of their school? I'm thinking of something like the equivalent of the 2000s when football teams would (seemingly) pick a Miami DB in the later rounds simply based on brand
Eric A Longenhagen
2:25
I think it's a small factor (and it goes both ways, Rice pitchers, Stanford hitters, etc.) but not a primary reason for drafting a guy.
2:27
And yeah, those turn of the century Miami teams were insane. I was talking about it with some security guards at Chase Field last week for like 15 minutes and we probably missed guys.
Aladdin Sane
2:27
Bryan Hudson actually promising or just grasping at straws? Some reports indicate very high upside, but seems too good to be true from a third round pick.
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