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Jeff Zimmerman

9:16

Finding the second best season takes a little more programming

I'm a Chapman fan

Paul Swydan

9:16

I'll say Chapman too.

$11 Worth of Taco Bell

9:17

Over the next three years, which Royals free agent posts the most WAR?

Paul Swydan

9:17

I'll say Lorenzo Cain.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:17

Three ... it will be close between Moose and Cain

weezy

9:18

fantasy dynasty question: I've got Pham, Conforto, Olson, Hoskins and Bellinger all at $1 in a 12-tm OBP & SLG league. Pick one to kick back in?

Jeff Zimmerman

9:18

Pham based on his age

Paul Swydan

9:18

Pham and Olson have similar projections, but Olson is a lot younger. I believe in Pham, but you've got a good list here. Unless Conforto isn't going to be healthy, I think you have to kick Pham back.

Rich Gedman, All-Star

9:18

My long term standard keeper league has devolved into a situation where everyone either goes into full sell or full win now mode by mid-May because any wait-and-see strategy ends up resulting in you falling too far behind to compete that year and missing out on all decent keepers needed to contend the next year. We can keep up to 7 major leaguers and 3 minor leaguers. Is there anyway to fix the problem aside from cutting the number of keepers (which keeps getting voted down)?

Paul Swydan

9:19

Absolutely.

You put in penalties for the teams that come in the bottom three spots.

It's better if you can make those penalties related to the league, like, say, the team that finishes last only gets 4 keepers, second-to-last 5 keepers, and third-to-last, 6 keepers.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:20

Agree. Reverse draft order by those not in the money. In Tout, the bottom teams get less FAAB the next season

Paul Swydan

9:20

But, if you can't get people to agree to that, and you have an in-person draft, you can also institute penalties like last place has to cater draft weekend food, and next-to-last has to cater draft weekend beer/alchohol/drinks.

9:21

Bottom line - you have to incentivize people to compete all year.

Superfluous H

9:21

So apparently everyone went nuts over an 'unnamed baseball source's saying Stanton will veto the Cardinals and Boston. How much stock do we put in this? And do the Marlins even trade him if the headliner is Helios?

Paul Swydan

9:21

None whatsoever. He'll go where he's traded because that city will be "not Miami."

9:22

He may use his partial no-trade to extract some money or perks in the deal, but he'll go wherever he's traded, IF he's traded at all.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:22

I don't follow the rumors. I just wait for the dust to clear

Rich Gedman, All-Star

9:22

What do you think is still your biggest blind spot when you go into a draft?

Jeff Zimmerman

9:23

Paying for Saves. I just hate doing it.

Paul Swydan

9:23

The only blind spot I have is that I sometimes forget to account where players I DON'T want should go in the draft/for how much they should go for. But, not to sound like a dick or anything, but I'm pretty good at drafting at this point. :-)

$11 Worth of Taco Bell

9:23

I see that on his manager of the year ballot, Jeff Zimmerman misspelled Yost.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:23

I'm better in an auction because I allow a $$$ amount

9:24

Three times

Paul Swydan

9:24

The venn diagram of "Jeff Zimmerman" and "spelling" doesn't have a lot of overlap. :-P

Jeff Zimmerman

9:24

I was a little surprised no one voted for Farrell

Guest

9:24

Do Ryu or Mccarthy bring back anything useful to LA? I feel like a borderline contender like brewers, oriels, twins etc... Could probably use them much more than dodgers would

Paul Swydan

9:24

I doubt it. Better to hang on to those guys and let them serve as depth pieces.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:25

Agree, they are good pieces for the 10-day DL and Ryu had a surprisingly productive season.

pinstripe

9:26

Jeff recently came out with a closer look at the pitch framing data and about how from this year to last year the data has become significantly less varied. My question to you is what do you think is the cause of the lower standard deviation? Is it because there is more data so with a larger sample there is a relatively lower varience or is it because the leauge has used the data to employ better framers/catchers just are working on their skill to be better framers?

Paul Swydan

9:26

One for Jeff.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:27

Other Jeff and the main cause is that the really bad framers (Doumit) lost their jobs

Higher floor

Paul Swydan

9:27

Oh. My fault, sorry.

Giant Gonzales

9:27

Evening Paul, want to help out a former pro wrestler with some stats homework? I've mapped out a discrete probability chart and binomial probability for hits in 3, 4, and 5 AB games. I'm confused as to how I'm supposed to interpret this, and I feel like even though the binomial is close in expected hit vs observed, that it doesn't meet all the conditions for a binomial experiment. Why is this so goddamned confusing? Thanks if you have the time.

Paul Swydan

9:28

I appreciate that you would turn to me, but this is a better question for Jeff. I'd be just as lost as you are.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:29

And I am lost also. I'm not a binomial guy

Big Joe Mufferaw

9:29

PREDICTION! Mark it down. Judge will up his FB% and hit 62 HRs next year. (hit .270 as well, with a ton of walks).

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