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Paul Swydan

9:29

Noted, Big Joe.

BTW, if anyone can help Giant out, holler at us.

Adam

9:29

Why wouldn’t Boston target a guy like Votto? I guess, we’ll, I don’t know they aren’t.

Paul Swydan

9:29

Votto has said numerous times that he'll never waive his no-trade clause.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:30

Votto has a no trade clause and will use it

Adam

9:30

Another Reds’ question, if don’t mind... Is Eugenio Suarez’ breakout legit? Does he build on it?

Paul Swydan

9:31

It might be legit, but I don't see him building on it. Best he'll do is maintain it, and I wouldn't necessarily bet on that either.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:31

I think it can be but not sure if he can build on it. The Reds infield is getting to the point where they may need to move a body or two.

Stevil

9:32

Think the Yankees will bring in someone to DH, or use Ellsbury or Austin?

Paul Swydan

9:32

Cashman said today that Ellsbury is competing to be a backup outfielder. He might see time at DH, but I doubt that he's the priority there.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:32

I think they will rotate bodies through the spot. I would not lock it down right now

Canada is pretty good

9:33

As a yankee fan, I'm all in on Otani. How upset should I be if they don't get him, because in my mind, he will sign with "us"?

Paul Swydan

9:34

You shouldn't be upset at all. It's a sport, and you don't control the outcome.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:35

Not at all. He's likely going some where else.

gibs

9:35

% chance we see Vlad Jr in the majors next year?

Paul Swydan

9:35

40% ???

I think if he's healthy and he keeps progressing, he'll get a call-up at some point, even if just for a cup of coffee.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:36

50% for a late appearance

Michael

9:36

I don't think the Yankees would necessarily want to do this, but would a trade of Ellsbury + 2-3 of their top 15 prospects for Stanton be plausible?

Paul Swydan

9:36

Nope.

Marlins want to move Stanton to cut payroll, and there isn't enough of a cut between Stanton and Ellsbury's salary to make it worthwhile for Miami.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:36

Erik

9:36

Shouldn't the "Hosmer is overrated" narrative be changing? He just put up over 4 WAR and is only 28 years old. It's not often you can find players on the right side of 30 in free agency, and $150 million only buys about 16 or 17 WAR these days. Is it really a stretch to see him put up 16 WAR over the next 6 years (just 2.7 per season)?

Paul Swydan

9:38

He put up 9.9 WAR in his first seven seasons, so yeah, I think it's a stretch for him to put up 16 in his next 6. Sorry.

He's NEVER had consecutive productive seasons.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:38

No. 1B only. Best year ever so probably heavy regression coming. 2017 was the outlier

Paul Swydan

9:38

Not sure why that would change as he gets older.

Fangraphs lurker

9:38

AWWWWW YEEEAAAHHH!!!! FANGRAPHS AFTERHOURS....BYOB!!!!!

Paul Swydan

9:40

Erik

9:40

Will Marvin Miller make the Hall of Fame?

Paul Swydan

9:40

Someday he will. Will be cold comfort to his family, I'm sure, but I believe he'll get there.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:40

Hope so but doubt it

Gary

9:41

Independent of where he's probably *going* to wind up, Otani has to be more valuable in the NL, right? Whatever at-bats he has as a pitcher are going to be immensely valuable, relative to (presumably) the DH at-bats he'll have in the AL.Off the top of my head I would guess 100 ABs with a 120 wRC+ as a pitcher are worth more offensive WAR than 400 as a DH...thoughts on this?

Paul Swydan

9:41

I go back and forth on it. Honestly, it all just depends on how he wants to be used and how the team who signs him wants to use him.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:42

I just ran the number for Travis S and Otani as a pitcher hitting in the NL was generate ~3 RAA or .3 WAR. Some help but not a ton.

Henry

9:42

Ottoneu fangraphs, is $11 Jean Segura, $6 Trey Mancini, $3 Eugenio Suarez, and $5 Addison Reed for $42 Nolan Arenado a fair trade?

Paul Swydan

9:43

No, not even close. That's a pu-pu platter trade. You could get all four of those guys on the waiver wire for the same prices.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:43

No, keep the big name for now

Joe

9:44

Realistically, what could the Os get for Machado?

Jeff Zimmerman

9:45

Probably a top 10 prospect or a couple lesser ones

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