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FanGraphs After Dark Chat - 3/1/16
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Paul Swydan
6:06
Did you vote today?

Yes, I am a good US citizen. (11.1% | 18 votes)
 
Not yet, but I will before the chat starts! (0% | 0 votes)
 
No, my state isn't a part of Super Tuesday (63.6% | 103 votes)
 
No, I'm not old enough to vote (1.2% | 2 votes)
 
No, I'm not a US resident or otherwise eligible to vote (10.5% | 17 votes)
 
No (13.6% | 22 votes)
 

Total Votes: 162
6:08
What do you think of Aroldis Chapman's suspension?

Love it - Best case scenario (4.2% | 7 votes)
 
Like it (34.5% | 57 votes)
 
Meh (33.9% | 56 votes)
 
Don't like it (6.7% | 11 votes)
 
Hate it - Domestic abuse still lighter punishment than steroids somehow (20.6% | 34 votes)
 

Total Votes: 165
9:03
Whoops, lost track of time. OK, let's start.
Trainman
9:03
Chapman suspension: fair or foul? Do you see him being the closer if Miller or Betances dominate out the gate?
Paul Swydan
9:05
So, on the one hand, I didn't like the idea of giving him a suspension long enough to give the Yankees an extra year of his services. But I also think these domestic abuse offenders should be treated more harshly than PED offenders. And I think that there is, since no charges were filed in this case, and the woman was apparently *physically* unharmed, it leaves the door open for stiffer punishments when those things are in play. But we'll have to see.
Jeff Zimmerman
9:05
Fair, wasn't guilty in court. Miller will be closer
Ruby
9:06
Hypothetical: The best player on every team tears an Achilles on April 1. What happens to playoff odds?
Paul Swydan
9:06
Probably not a ton, because every team is losing that one player. Maybe the Angels and Nationals and Dodgers are affected a little more than most.
Jeff Zimmerman
9:06
The Angels lost all of their hopes.
Ruby
9:07
One team is made of 25 ML pitchers who must also play the field and bat. Another team is made of 25 ML batters/fielders who must also pitch. Who wins this matchup? What if Bumgarner, Greinke, Zambrano and Arroyo are on the pitching team?
Paul Swydan
9:07
I'm going to say the pitchers team, just because both of those things are in their normal routines.
9:08
In a game with NL rules, who wins?

Team of 25 pitchers (55.3% | 21 votes)
 
Team of 25 position players (44.7% | 17 votes)
 

Total Votes: 38
Jeff Zimmerman
9:08
Kind of agree. I think the hitters will either be horrible pitchers or the ones that can pitch will probably be bad hitters.
jpg
9:09
If there was ever a team to copy the Royals blueprint, it's the Rockies, no? It sounds counterintuitive but here's the plan: Build a contact heavy lineup that rarely strikes out to take advantage of the huge outfield gaps. Focus on fast, aggressive base runners. The home runs will still come. As for run prevention, we have two decades of evidence that Colorado can't A) develop a front line starter or B) sign one in free agency (sans Mike Hampton). So they should focus on pairing decent starters with elite glove men in the outfield to cover the aforementioned huge gaps and a lights out bullpen because relievers have succeeded there. What do you guys think?
Paul Swydan
9:09
I think they've tried the elite glove man angle before, but I like the pitching plan. And I think they're trying that now, in their own special way.
Jeff Zimmerman
9:10
The good bullpen is where I would start and then bring back a sluggers lineup
Norton
9:10
Thoughts on Cesperado's ride today? Does he have a post-MLB career as a cowboy?
Jeff Zimmerman
9:11
Johnny Cueto and him can hang out
Paul Swydan
9:11
My main thought is that I couldn't possibly care less, and wish the media had better things to do with their time. I guess that makes me a bit of a kill joy, but I don't need any more evidence of rich people showing off their toys.
Zorak
9:11
keeper deadline at midnight! Who do I lock in to the last slot ($300 keep 6 h2h points). Currently keeping $54 Kershaw, $5 Stroman, $5 Sano, $5 Lindor, $12 Brantley. Do I keep $30 Lester, $44 Bautista, or $14 Kipnis? Agonizing decision, appreciate any and all input!
Paul Swydan
9:12
First off, thank you for giving your league context. Keep doing this, people!
Jeff Zimmerman
9:12
Bautista or Kipnis
Paul Swydan
9:13
If you're going for it, I lean Bautista, but if not, Kipnis. I worry about your middle infield being on the same team.
Jeff Zimmerman
9:13
I may go with Kipnis on age because it is keeper.
Dude99
9:14
Eno told me that a 40 man roster of 0.0 WAR players is worth 47 wins. So a team would need 43 WAR from it's players to reach 90 wins? Is that more or less the context for WAR?
Paul Swydan
9:15
I'm deferring to Jeff on this one.
Jeff Zimmerman
9:15
Yes, but the actual wins will likely be +/- 8 because of clutch performances (good or bad record in close games)
Trystan
9:15
If Desmond was available for 8 why did the Nats not take a punt? They 'lose' the supp pick not an earlier one and still can trade before deadline for middling prospect and promote Turner.
Paul Swydan
9:15
Because they already cast their lot with Stephen Drew for some reason.
9:16
And, also, it takes two to tango, and I doubt that Desmond would have looked on such an offer kindly.
Jeff Zimmerman
9:16
IMO, I think the two teams were done.
Murdoc
9:16
Which is sillier, thinking that comparing a spring training facility to a country club is an insult or having to defend your spring training facility for being too nice?
Paul Swydan
9:17
Probably the latter.
Jeff Zimmerman
9:17
Yes, both. How about some baseball talk. Hell, Stroman threw today
Vic
9:18
Completely agree that deGrom is a better, safer fantasy bet over Buxton for this year and likely 2017.....but over the next 4 years, considering pitcher injuries are longer and more severe than hitter injuries, is it reasonable to think Buxton might provide more value? Asking, because I can have one or the other for the next 4 years....must throw back the other.
Paul Swydan
9:18
It's reasonable to take Buxton, but given his bust potential I'd be riding with deGrom there.
Jeff Zimmerman
9:19
If only 4 years, take deGrom, you know his upside. Buxton hasn't really ever shown anything
Phony McRingring
9:19
Giles and Gregerson- is this an actual closer battle or just Gregerson publicly beating his chest?
Jeff Zimmerman
9:20
Gregerson is being an ass. Giles is the better pitcher and will close
Paul Swydan
9:20
First off - great name. Second off, Gregerson is just beating his chest. They're not all Mensa candidates.
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