You are viewing the chat in desktop mode. Click here to switch to mobile view.
X
Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 9/29/17
powered byJotCast
Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page
Jeff Sullivan
9:28
Sit Holliday and Frazier against the right-handed Santana
If they don't like that, then I guess you start Frazier and start with Ellsbury on the bench
Guest
9:29
what does it mean for a fastball to have good plane?
Jeff Sullivan
9:30
I think it's usually meant to refer to a sinking fastball thrown from a high arm slot. So in theory you get this "steep" downward angle
On the other hand, you can have a four-seam fastball that appears to rise. That could also be a fastball with a good plane. You just want to avoid that boring crap in the middle
another bad dynasty manager
9:31
Hi Jeff:  what do you think about Stanton's chance to tie Maris's mark for HRs?  A lot of people still believe that was the true record, even though Barry Bonds was an extremely gifted hitter.
Jeff Sullivan
9:31
A lot of people are wrong
HugoZ
9:34
Assuming at least five teams will pursue Moustakas, what will his new contract look like?
Jeff Sullivan
9:34
I could see him coming in around 4yr/$75 - 80m. He doesn't so much deserve a bigger contract than Justin Turner got, but Moustakas is a few years younger
Zach
9:35
What do the Red Sox do with their playoff rotation? It looks like they need Sale every day.
Jeff Sullivan
9:36
Fun fact: over the past 30 days, out of Boston's five starters, Sale ranks fifth in WAR!
9:37
That means nothing, of course. But you go Sale -- Porcello -- Pomeranz and hope. Rodriguez is an option and, honestly, I think Fister is okay too, but this looks like one of those situations where Sale could end up starting on short rest more than once if the Red Sox make it that far
Da Bum
9:38
With his superb September and a HR rate better than any other player, how much has JD Martinez improved his FA contract? 4/100 possible now? What if he has a Murphy-esque playoff run?
Jeff Sullivan
9:38
Martinez is still going to be held back by the reality that he doesn't really run or play the field, but this surge has probably added eight figures of value nevertheless
9:39
He could get five years
Brian
9:40
Shouldn't the Cubs seriously consider benching Heyward during the playoffs?
Jeff Sullivan
9:40
You can still use him against righties. Against lefties, there isn't a point
Frank Grimes
9:41
Who will be the better major leaguer, JP Crawford or Dansby Swanson?
Jeff Sullivan
9:41
Crawford
Owen
9:42
Jeff, are you sad that the season is ending (because there are no more unusual stats to discover and stories to write), or excited that a postseason with really great teams is starting?
Jeff Sullivan
9:42
I'm excited for the playoffs, because these games are always fun and it's never that hard to find things to write about. Also, beyond the playoffs, I'm excited to have all the statistics become official over a full season, so I can stop writing paragraphs that begin with "of course it's unfair to compare this 2017 measure to numbers from the past that are already set in stone"
9:43
Finally, when the season's complete, we can compare to history without any asterisks
Da Bum
9:43
If you are JD Martinez do you stay in Arizona as long as they offer close to the best? Dry air seems to do wonders for him.
Jeff Sullivan
9:43
Mostly I just wouldn't go back to Detroit
Colin
9:43
The juiced ball itself is responsible for ___% of the home run surge.
Jeff Sullivan
9:43
20 - 25%
Zach
9:44
Playoff odds aside, let's imagine the Yankees and Diamondbacks both win the wild card game. Of the eight division series teams then, who would you be most surprised to see make the World Series?
Jeff Sullivan
9:44
I guess the Red Sox?
They seem the most flawed of the eight
Slider
9:46
Tito said in all likelihood, Tomlin will be the tribe's game 4 starter. Is bypassing Salazar and Clevinger as dumb of a mistake as I think it is?
Jeff Sullivan
9:46
Salazar and Clevinger will still be available to use. For multiple innings at a time, if needed
That bullpen could be something obscene
Rockies Fan
9:48
If the Rockies make the NLDS, Gray and Anderson is a good enough 1-2 to let the Rockies have a shot right?
Jeff Sullivan
9:49
I kind of like Marquez a little, too. But the dropoff from Gray is steep. The Rockies would have a shot because baseball is baseball, but the Rockies are going to be pretty easily the worst playoff team in the NL, assuming they lock up WC2
AK
9:49
If we changed the rules of baseball to allow an unlimited number defenders onto the field, how many Andrelton Simmons clones would it take to allow a BABIP of .000?
Jeff Sullivan
9:49
Probably at least a hundred
Fields are big!
Mike
9:50
For the projections pages, would it be possible to convey some information on how tightly the results are clustered?  For example, if a team is very young or injury prone, their expected results might vary widely and it might be interesting to give something like 25th and 75th percentiles
Jeff Sullivan
9:50
I'll see if there's anything we could do about that for next season
Greg
9:51
How valuable would this pitcher be: He can pitch 60 innings in a year, with each inning having a 50% chance of allowing 1 run, and a 50% chance of allowing 0 runs
Connecting…