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Klawchat 6/2/17
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Keith Law
3:10
I'm riding high upon a deep depression. It's Klawchat.
Greg
3:14
What's the latest draft buzz in the top 5?
Keith Law
3:14
I just posted a mock 3 days ago: http://klaw.me/2rfDkiH
Steeeve
3:14
How is it possible to have a lower OBP than average?
Keith Law
3:16
No walks, 1 sacrifice fly. This is something I decided not to rant about in Smart Baseball because it seemed too wonky/math-nerdy (although I am not ashamed of being a math nerd), but it's a really obvious flaw in the system. Also, true story, i had a long argument with some Blue Jays front office members in 2002 or 2003 about this ... and they all defended making the sac fly a non-at bat, and even argued that a run-scoring groundout deserved the same treatment!
Patty O'Furniture
3:16
So...Ronald Acuna is kind of crushing everything right now. Thoughts?
Keith Law
3:17
Nothing new, really. I ranked him high this winter, because I loved the bat speed and feel for contact. But a .520 BABIP or whatever he has? There's no way to interpret that without assuming a huge portion of it is noise - again, even if you really like the player, which I do.
Brian
3:17
Devers in Boston by August?
Keith Law
3:18
Possible. I'd like to see them bump him up to AAA soon if they're thinking about that. BTW, I saw Buster tweeted a note from another evaluator saying Devers is too big for 3b; I couldn't disagree more. Not only is he physically able to stay there, he's got great hands and a plus arm.
John
3:18
Is the Nate Pearson Mets buzz legitimate?
Keith Law
3:20
I don't believe they'd take him unless their board absolutely fell apart. Even then I'm not sure; you're talking about a guy with an 80 fastball, but questionable secondary stuff and a screw in his elbow. Pretty big risk for top 20 ... which isn't to say it won't happen, just that I think it's unlikely to happen.
Jake
3:20
Which prospects in the Phillies system are actually worth getting excited about at this point?
Keith Law
3:20
Lots? I still think Crawford's going to be fine. Hoskins is good. Kingery is good, maybe really good. Brito is good. Moniak is good. They have some power arms, although none is really close to ready. It's a solid system.
Greg
3:20
How was Garage Bar?
Keith Law
3:21
Excellent. I ate really well in Louisville - there, Gralehaus, Milkwood, Royal Chicken, Mayan Cafe, Sunergos, Quills, Press on Market.
Greg
3:21
Sorry, I didn't realize the teams in the top 5 all were thinking exactly the same way they were 3 days ago.
Keith Law
3:21
Wow, that was wildly unnecessary. This isn't Twitter.
JDB
3:22
Are you hearing a lot of talk about the Red Sox and Hiura or just a predictable landing spot in your eyes?
Keith Law
3:22
No, they're linked. But I don't think it's better than 50/50 that he's there; a lot will depend on how teams view his medical and if they're willing to take that risk to get a bat who projects to plus hit (or better) with at least 55 power. Could go as high as 12, I think.
Sam
3:23
What is up with Max Fried? Dude was dominant in A ball and really good in spring training, but his peripherals have not been good this year.
Keith Law
3:25
His peripherals are fine, but his ERA isn't, because he's been atrocious from the stretch. He's had a mild split (bases empty/runners on) before, but this year it's out of control. Too small a sample to say it's conclusive, but that's how you post a near-6 ERA with those secondary numbers.
Marc
3:25
What albums on the horizon do you have your eye on?
Keith Law
3:26
alt-J came out today; I thought it was just so-so. WAVVES new album is great. Less Art's debut is very good but not out till July (I got a copy because I know two of the members quite well). I think that's all I know about, but I tend to just take new music as it comes rather than mapping out future releases like I would with movies.
Paul
3:26
Mets going for college or highschool with 20th pick. I am hoping for Logan Warmoth. Thoughts?
Keith Law
3:26
That's who I gave them in my mock, so we appear to be on the same page. Kid can really hit.
Ken from AZ
3:26
I'm going to reply to your question by quoting it, and you're not allowed to make any reference to it. So there.
Keith Law
3:26
Dammit, Ken, you got me again.
Fred
3:28
How good is Derek Fisher? Hitting over .340 in AAA, 4 straight games with a HR.
Keith Law
3:28
He's good, but remember it's the PCL, and those 4 straight games include 3 against Albuquerque's atrocious pitching staff.
Dan
3:28
With all these rookies coming up and being hot right away (eventually leveling out), is it weird that Mike Trout had his worst half season ever when he came up?
Keith Law
3:29
He was only 19, though. Not that weird.
Jack
3:29
If the Giants looked to deal Cueto, could Eloy Jimenez be had?
Keith Law
3:29
For a half-season rental, I doubt it. Eloy is pretty special.
Jack
3:29
Is Pavin Smith to the Phillies just smoke? Have you heard anything else in regards to Austin Beck?
Keith Law
3:30
The Phillies were very heavy at the ACC tournament too, but if those games hold any weight, I don't see how they'd take Smith at 8; in two games he didn't hit a single ball hard. Haseley did, though. If I revised that mock from the other day right now, I'd have Beck 6 to Oakland instead of Smith.
Nate
3:30
who do you see falling in the draft and taking an over slot sandwich round deal?
Keith Law
3:31
Pick a dozen high school arms after the group of Greene, Gore, Hall. Half of them will do what you said. Enlow seems likely to do that. Carlson too.
Jack
3:31
What position do you think Hiura ends up at post-elbow surgery? Also any other names the Red Sox might be considering at 24?
Keith Law
3:32
Batters' box? No one seems to know if he can really play second base post-surgery. It wasn't a very good arm before he got hurt. Best college bat there is the most likely pick, although the only thing I think they probably won't do is a HS arm, not after taking Groome last year.
Chris
3:32
Obviously the real Michael Chavis is somewhere between this year and last year, but what is your current assessment of him?
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