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Jeffrey Todd
2:26
Hey everyone. Sincere apologies for the lack of consistency in my chat scheduling of late. We are still ironing out some logistical changes and also dealing with summer vacations.
Speaking of which ... I'm gone next week!
2:27
I only have an hour to chat today, but let's see how much we can cram in. We'll get it going in a few minutes. Leave your ????s
Mike in Orlando
2:30
What do you think the chances are that Boston will be able to make a move pitching wise before the deadline?
Jeffrey Todd
2:32
There are trades for everyone to make. They absolutely can. Question is whether they're willing to add any more salary or not. And without a lot of available young talent, what can they do other than just adding salary? It's a tricky spot, esp since it seems so tough to catch NYY. I am interested to see whether they pursue some creative, outside the box approaches to freeing up salary.
Jeff Luhnow
2:32
Do I panic and make a move now, or what for the big guns to come back?
Jeffrey Todd
2:33
Can't panic, especially when you have a big pad and easily the best team in the division on paper. Doing something that costs roster depth or spins off a lot of high-end/near-MLB talent right now could ultimately be counter-productive.
Brian
2:34
With the D-Backs falling way back, when should we see them deal a resurgent Holland and who will take over as closer?
Jeffrey Todd
2:35
They have gone up and down a bit, but it's not like they are fully buried just yet. What if they rip off a 12-7 run? Still not going to be a threat to the Dodgers, probably, but they could be right back in Wild Card contention. I think the decisions -- buy/sell/hold -- are going to come down to the wire for this team more than most.
Jerry Dipoto
2:35
Realistically who can the mariners get for Mike Leake?
Jeffrey Todd
2:37
Depends entirely upon how much salary they'll keep. Leake isn't old but his peripherals are weak and he's a low-ceiling guy. Will not hold immense appeal to all contenders. He's way overpriced on his contract and has full no-trade rights, which means a deal could be complicated. So ... realistically, even if the M's are willing to eat most of the money, he's not a guy that is going to draw offers of talent that a team really values.
Rick
2:37
Think brewers would make hiura available for a controllable SP (Bauer, Syndergaard, Boyd) ?
Jeffrey Todd
2:38
I'd be surprised. He's a near and long-term piece with quite a lot of potential surplus value.
dad in Texas
2:38
Muncy’s long term position? 35HR a year at 2B is a pretty big advantage...
Jeffrey Todd
2:38
Doubt whether the Dodgers really know that.
2:39
Just not how they view roster building.
Matt Klentak
2:39
Do I have to include Bohm in a package if I were to go after Boyd?
Jeffrey Todd
2:40
My feeling on Boyd is that Avila will feel he has to hit a homer to do a deal. We can look at it from the outside and say they ought to be realistic about Boyd's true outlook. But even if the Tigers feel a bit uncertain, it's tough to just put him on the auction block. They have struggled to get value in deals for a variety of reasons. Boyd doesn't have to be dealt right now.
WrongVerb
2:41
Reds are looking for a controllable bat. Who fits that category and where would he play?
Jeffrey Todd
2:41
If you read between the lines in the post I wrote about that report, you'll see that I found myself wondering the same thing. It all seems a bit empty to me.
2:42
Like, yeah, sure ... who wouldn't want a young outfielder who's on track to be a star. But what is the scenario for that and how does it help the team now? If it is just great value then ... that's not really tied to the deadline, it's just "no crap, of course a team would do that deal."
2:44
I also don't think it's at all clear that the Reds won't be in the rental market as buyers or sellers. Plenty of things could still happen to make that realistic. If they are right in the mix in the division, they aren't going to go after rental players at areas of need? (Say, a platoon OF and solid hitting veteran catcher?) Then why did they do the deals before the season for rental guys?
Guest
2:44
What are the chances looking like of the Indians trading one of their top starters? (Bauer)
Jeffrey Todd
2:45
Seems like a pretty narrow opening for that sort of deal. It'd have to be a player/players that would keep up the standard at the MLB level, because they are still firmly in the race. (Yeah, I know, the Twins look good and they're 9 up, but that's not unassailable and the WC is in play.)
That means a unique match. Perhaps there are ways you could imagine teams like the Yankees, Dodgers, and Astros freeing up the right kinds of players, but it'll be awfully tough to work out.
Dodgers trading with SF
2:45
What level prospect will it take to get Will Smith from SF??? Do you think the Dodgers ARE willing to trade that level???
Jeffrey Todd
2:46
Well, Smith is simply going to be sold to the highest bidder. If that's the Dodgers, why not? So he goes and helps them out for a few months ... if it means you get a good former LAD prospect, maybe you'll be lording it over them for a decade.
Grayson
2:47
Tim seriously suggested that Clint Frazier would not be the headliner in a trade package for a starting pitcher, even saying that trading him for tanner roark is fair. Please tell me that he’s wrong
Jeffrey Todd
2:49
I haven't read his specific comments, so I won't offer a reaction to them in particularly. But generally, I do think Frazier is a bit over-hyped as a trade piece. He was never a super-elite prospect and hasn't really done anything more than was expected. He has burned through some service time and showed some warts. Good piece but I don't think he's going to be the headliner for a controllable, higher-end starter.
2:51
That said, I do think he's a truly valuable asset. Half-season of Roark would seem like a weak return, which I say in part b/c I believe Roark is probably going to take a step back. What's most interesting about Frazier is that he isn't a far-off or even near-MLB prospect. He's a plug-and-play guy right from the outset. That would hold appeal to some teams and perhaps help loosen them up for a deal they wouldn't otherwise be especially inclined to make. Trouble is, there aren't a lot of appealing starters that would seem to be on the block even given thatt.
Jason
2:52
Yeli or Belli for MVP?
Jeffrey Todd
2:52
Anthony
Realistically Bellinger has a huge lead, but I'm sticking with my prediction that Rendon will come away with the award this year.
2:53
If Belli has a less-than-amazing 2d half and Rendon kills it -- esp if he helps put the Nats back in contention -- there'll be a groundswell of "how have we kept overlooking this guy?!" support.
Fun fact: Rendon has NEVER BEEN IN AN ALL-STAR GAME. How?!
Andrew
2:54
Braves vs Dodgers NLCS odds?
Jeffrey Todd
2:55
You'd be a fool to pick any other two teams if you were placing a bet at even odds, just b/c of the leads they have.
John
2:55
Is Jonathan Villar a potential trade candidate? I haven’t heard much about him, with all the focus going on bundy, Mancini, and givens
Jeffrey Todd
JNP
2:57
Angels are looking to get into playoff this year but don't want to mortgage a future.  They need SP, which pitchers should they target that could help with getting to playoffs but not taxing their farm system too much.
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