JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Greg

3:44

Thanks for taking the time to do this. I see you drafted Ryon Healy in the 14th round. What is his upside for 2017? Long term?

Paul Sporer

3:46

No problem! Eno has gotten me fully on the Healy train. He reminds me a bit of Piscotty, another Eno gem I adopted fully. Healy has a strong ball profile that played out in Statcast measures and points toward mid-20s HR and .280+ AVG upside.

Alex

3:46

Speaking of Bregman, what kind of player do you see him at his best? AVG, HR. Thanks man

Paul Sporer

3:48

At his best, he has .310/20 capability for sure -- I could see him pushing for a batting average title or two in his career. I know .310 doesn't AVG titles, but true talent .310s can yield a .350 in their best season with 6 months of health and some BABIP good luck

3:49

Would you deal Bryant for Correa in dynasty? To be fair, I have no SS for next season and loaded at 3B

Paul Sporer

3:49

Given your situation, yes. Bryant is more of an early first rounder while Correa is toward the backend or early 2nd, but your needs make up that relatively small gap in draft stock

I'm 80 Grade

3:49

Have any fantasy sleepers or dynasty targets for 2017 yet? Were there any pitchers with down years that you think will rebound in 2017?

Paul Sporer

4:04

I don't have many yet, though Healy would certainly qualify. Carlos Gomez and Jose Bautista as established guys who rebound on offense

(sorry y'all, Charlotte took forever outside)

4:05

Pitching wise I like betting on Garrett Richards at his cost and also up-and-comers like Jon Gray, James Paxton, Joe Ross, Brandon Finnegan.

I kinda buy Ivan Nova's resurgence even if he's not in PIT

fresh basil

4:05

Over/under 25 HRS for Zunino next year?

Paul Sporer

4:06

I'm so out on Zunino, but he hit 22 back when HRs weren't so plentiful so with full PT, 25 wouldn't be tough

McCutchen

4:06

Reasonable recovery in 2017 (accounting for steals probably being gone)? Or hot potato?

Paul Sporer

4:07

I'm in. He finished strong and even his down year wasn't TOO bad. I'm buying at his depressed cost as I did in the 4th round of that Arizona draft last weekend

Make WAR not Love

4:07

Dahl's K% going to depress his value long term or is his power/speed combo + coors make you salivate?

Paul Sporer

4:08

He's better than Story in that realm and we saw what Story did. I really like Dahl this year and I'll be drafting him regularly next spring

Dagoba

4:08

1-10 how concerned are you about Sano's K% ?

Paul Sporer

4:10

10. I mean, I was fully against his draft cost last spring for that exact reason. I'm not sure why most weren't, tbh. If it doesn't get better, this is a more position-flexible Chris Carter. Love the obscene power, but HRs can only do so much with a .240 or below AVG

I'm 80 Grade

4:10

Is Trey Mancini worth a $1 flyer in in a mixed 14 team roto?

Paul Sporer

4:11

Ehhh, he's not for me, but I'm reluctant to fully push someone off their $1 guys. It's no risk so if you see something, go for it, but I personally would look elsewhere

Matthew

4:12

Hopefully there's a 2017 SP Guide on the horizon? Assuming yes, when/where should we look for it?

Paul Sporer

4:12

Actuallllllyyyyyyy......

Rich Hill

4:13

Will I see 150 IP in 2017? 2018? If not, won't I be terribly overpaid in free agency, even on the base case?

Paul Sporer

4:14

I cannot in good conscience put him down 150, but I'm down for 100-120 REALLY good IP. May get overpaid, but if it's a shorter term deal (1-3 yrs) then it's unlikely to really punish the signing team

Pat

4:14

Any interest in David Peralta next year? Looked like he could be Pollock-lite but injuries made for a lost season. Still hope? Thx.

Paul Sporer

4:15

Ya I'm not fully giving up. This dude was straight raking before last year and it's clear that health slowed him down. As long as he's not slagging through the spring with continued health concerns, I'll gladly take the discount and roster him this year

John

4:15

Hopefully Charlotte is the dog!

Paul Sporer

4:15

LOL, yes, Charlotte is my dog - https://www.instagram.com/char_mini/

Jeff

4:15

Know you're a Russell fan, but are you taking him over Bogaerts next year? Am I right in thinking they are pretty close?

Paul Sporer

4:17

You're not off in thinking they're close and I am taking Russell over Bogy based on their costs. At same cost, I still lean Bogy

JD15

4:18

Any Cubs contract extensions in the works for the offseason?

Paul Sporer

4:18

I'd imagine so, but I haven't read anything on any yet

Matthew

4:23

Actuallllllyyyyyy?

Paul Sporer

4:23

Yeah, it's not going to be in its typical form this year, but I will have TONS of SP coverage here at Fangraphs

JD15

4:23

Which type of draft do you like better: snake or auction? In auction, do you prefer to spend big on a star like Trout and build around or spend more evenly?

Paul Sporer

4:25

I love both, I really do, but Auctions are better IMO. They're just so much fun and offer more control over your team construction. Style depends on league size and setup. In a 10-12 team mixer, I'm more inclined to stack studs, but in a deeper mixer or 10-team AL/NL, I'd lean toward spreading the budget. But I don't have a one-size for any of it

Taijuan Walker

4:25

Back end 2/high 3? Or another year of teasing with no happy ending?

Paul Sporer

4:26

i still have hope for his upside. He's only 24. I know plenty have moved off him, but that just means more for us. He might not reach full upside this year, but I see more mixed league viability in '17

4:27

OK y'all, these offseason ones are going to be a bit tighter on time, at least until the signing and trade news really starts to flow in so we're going to end this one here. I'll have a piece on some trade potentials up soon, too!

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