JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer

3:30

It's that time again! How's everyone doing this Friday?

3:31

Sorry for the switch from Thursday. Winter Meetings was crazy, but we got 4 pods out covering all the transaction goodness

Acuna Moncada

3:31

How should someone value Javy Baez assuming he doesn't get traded and land a starting gig somewhere? Should we pencil in 450 plate appearances with the Cubs or is this someone to avoid altogether given the uncertainty in playing time?

Paul Sporer

3:33

I think the upside is still worth gambling on and his defense incentivizes the Cubs and Maddon to find that PT. I would tab him closer to 500 PA, but he's an easy overvalue candidate bc the hype was re-energized in the playoffs.

Kevin

3:34

16 teams keep 17 forever no salaries which side you like...Mous and Keuchel or Franco and Matt Moore? I own and prefer the Mous side just looking for a 2nd opinion.

Paul Sporer

3:34

I'd like Franco/Moore definitively, though not by a landslide if that makes sense. In other words, I clearly pick that side, but the separation isn't crazy

Patrick

3:35

If you were the Rangers, would you send Profar for a "meh" player if the other team agrees to take on Choo and his contract?

Paul Sporer

3:37

No. I don't think Choo is done. Injuries ate his '16 and he will be 34, but I think we outside of the game write off these mid-30s guys quicker than we should because we assume the injuries are just gonna overtake them. There's a plausible scenario where he gets healthy and starts raking righties again

Minty

3:37

Little more clarification from twitter. 3 years of Springer for 5 of Dahl even in OBP? Thanks.

Paul Sporer

3:37

Yep, sign me up. I like Springer and he has a good chance to be better in '17, but I prefer Dahl long-term, especially for 2 extra seasons

Peter

3:37

How cringe-worthy is that G. Stanton contract for the Marlins now? Should they be very, very afraid?

Paul Sporer

3:38

No more so than it was when they signed it, insofar as we judge those strictly on a performance basis. Obviously performance is key, but teams don't expect the WAR/$ to line up perfectly on these mega-deals

Minty

3:40

Does switching Sox affect Moncada long term?

Paul Sporer

3:42

A bit, I mean the White Sox are definitely worse right now, but it's not like he was established within that Red Sox lineup or anything. I still think he has a great ceiling to deliver big power at an infield spot

Mitch

3:42

Better 2017: Liriano or Tyson Ross?

Paul Sporer

3:42

I'm gonna go Liriano just due to the uncertainty of thoracic outlet syndrome. The fact that Ross was non-tendered doesn't inspire tons of confidence

Slamboni

3:44

Would cost me $3 to keep Tyler O'Neill in my AL only, worth the stash or am I a year too early?

Paul Sporer

3:44

It's a year early if you can't put him on a taxi squad of some sort

Jimmy Steve

3:47

In an AL only keeper league where we can keep as many as we want, but one player gets voted off from every team and each keeper has a $3 increase from last year's auction price to keep. The top 3-5 teams have a monopoly on good players, how do we re-balance the league? Higher draft budget, keeper limit, vote more off from top finishers?

Paul Sporer

3:47

keeper limit is the easiest way and maybe scale it so the bottom teams can keep 1-2 more

Steve

3:47

Where in the 3B rankings would you slot Gurriel? Is this someone worth the gamble next year?

Paul Sporer

3:50

He's sneaky and kinda off the radar http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/third-basemen-rankings-first-run/

Sulzer

3:50

What are your thoughts on Paxton for 2017? Who'd you rather? Paxton or Musgrove? Thanks Paul!

Paul Sporer

3:51

I love Paxton and the only thing that keeps me from really going nuts is his horrible health track record. Brad might like him even more - tabbing him 38th in his recent rankings. My first blush rankings put him 50th (I only wrote up my top 24, but I have an Excel that runs about 80 deep on SPs right now)

Definitely prefer him to Musgrove, who I like, but just doesn't have the same upside

Jim

3:51

Do you see the Cardinals pursuing an additional bat beyond Fowler?

Paul Sporer

3:55

Maybe a bench bat, but their lineup is pretty set. Plus, I really like Harrison Bader, who could be up in-season

Neck

3:55

Keep Schwarber in 4th Round of a 12 team/mixed or is that too high? No restrictions on length of contract, could conceivably keep him forever as one of my top 4 rounders.

Paul Sporer

3:56

It might be a touch high (he went 4th rd in a 15-teamer I did), but it's not that far off where he's going, so if you really like him, take a shot.

Minty

3:57

Friggin Jeff Bandi

Paul Sporer

3:57

Jett Bandy* ... he's such a jerk!

Ant

3:57

Dynasty- Hosmer & Gallo for Blackmon. Which side?

Paul Sporer

3:58

I don't really see Gallo being much more than a Russell Branyan type and Hosmer's power just isn't great for a 1B, so gimme the dynamic Blackmon

Slamboni

3:58

Follow up question: What is a taxi squad and is it possible via ESPN fantasy sports? That's where we have our league

Paul Sporer

3:59

A taxi squad is just like a couple minor leagues that don't count against your roster. It doesn't have to be a taxi squad, it could also just be a bigger reserve roster. But if you're rockin 3-5 reserves, I wouldn't keep O'Neill.

Frank

3:59

Trade away my Hosmer & Stroman for his Bumgarner??

Paul Sporer

3:59

Yessir

Dumpster Fiers

3:59

Robbie Ray the SP that breaks out in 2017?

Paul Sporer

4:00

Well, I think there will be more than one, but he could be among the group. I'm a little torn on him. He just gives up way too much hard contact, but at the same time we don't see guys rack up that many Ks without jumping forward in the future as they continue to put it together. I used to be all out on him, but I've got one foot in the pool now. He falls pretty far in early drafts and now I'm open to taking a shot

Matt

4:00

I have to decide between keeping Carlos Martinez or Michael Fulmer. 16 team league ERA, WHIP, W, K for the relevant pitching cateories. The cost is not a huge difference either. 8 vs 5. They seem so close it's like a coin toss...

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