JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer

2:03

Happy 2017, y'all!! We're back chatting. It's freezing here (literally), but baseball is inching closer and closer! (that video was weird... my bad)

Greg

2:04

Hey Paul, who should be my last keeper? Jake Arrieta (3rd round), Michael Fulmer (25th round), Carlos Carrasco (4th round), Jonathan Lucroy (3rd round), Robinson Cano (1st round).

Paul Sporer

2:05

I don't think I can go 1st round w/Cano or 3rd w/LuCroy so I'm looking at the arms. Love Arrieta and Carrasco, but they aren't 21 and 22 rounds better than Fulmer, IMO, so I'd go with him

Ben

2:05

is Justin Upton a good buy-low candidate?

Paul Sporer

2:07

Ya he got back on track late in '16 and essentially reached his counting numbers. I think he'll do the same in '17 with his batting average back up around .260-.270

That Starboy album is staying in heavy rotation for me right now

Derek

2:08

Paul, two questions, 4 on 4 or 3 on 3 OT instead of shootout? Keep for the next 3 years, Stanton or Miggy?

Paul Sporer

2:08

I'd have taken more 5 on 5 w/that World Juniors last night, but 4 on 4 is pretty lit, too. I'm reluctant to project too far out with either. Miggy for age and Stanton for continued health issues, but between the 2 for '17, I'm still going Miggy.

robert

2:09

Paul, how does JP Crawford compare to Correa, Seager, Machado, Lindor, Bogaerts and Russell (and any other young SS I may have missed)? Does he make 300 PAs this year?

Paul Sporer

2:18

I think he could Lindor-esque where his bat hasn't been EXCELLENT results-wise in the minors and so he gets tabbed as a defensive prospect. It ends up turning into a tag of "defense-only" instead of "defense-first". He'll reach 300 PA if he improves during his second tour of Triple-A.

IPoopTooMuch

2:18

My coworker recently told me that there isn't much of a difference between Hector Santiago and Danny Salazar (5x5 AL only). What would you say to him?

Paul Sporer

2:19

LOL, I'd love to hear him try and defend that. I just don't see it.

Paul

2:20

What's your expectation for playing time for AJ Reed and Yulieski Gurriel? Could see a lot of scenarios between Reed at 1B and Gurriel in OF, Gurriel at 1B and Reed in minors, Gurriel being utility guy. What say you?

Paul Sporer

2:21

I think the Gurriel 1B/Reed minors scenario is how we start the season. Now, injuries happen which can muddle everything, but I think it'd take that to really get Reed in there on any sort of full-time basis. I think Gurriel is a sneaktip solid late-round bat

Bob

2:21

Who are some young guys you expect to play a lot better in 2017 than they did in 2016?

Paul Sporer

2:22

Leap Year SPs for 2017 -
NL: fangraphs.com/fantasy/?p=921…
AL: fangraphs.com/fantasy/?p=921…

Mike

2:22

Two part Ottoneu (points league) question. 1) I swapped my $29 Schwarber for his $28 Correa and $21 Keuchel. Even already having Corey Seager on my team, would you consider this a positive move for my team? 2) At $21, it's okay here to drop Keuchel and try to snag him at a lower price in the auction?

Paul Sporer

2:23

I like what you've done here. Correa cheaper than Schwarber is very nice. And yes, kick Keuchel back and see if you can get him in the mid-teens instead

Pat

2:23

Hey Paul! In an OBP keep forever league should I keep Sano, Myers or Villar?

Paul Sporer

2:24

I'm gonna go Villar here. He's always had the ability to take a walk, so even if he's back toward a .270ish AVG, his OBP should still be .330+ with some punch and tons of speed

Ken M

2:25

F*** Kill Marry

Yovani, Ubaldo, Liriano

Paul Sporer

2:26

omg

transferring it to baseball, that'd be spot-start, never roster, and hold so Gallardo, Ubaldo, Liriano

2:27

I'm in an 11-team $260 AL-only where around 20 of the top 25 pitchers will be kept going into the auction. I happen to own Kluber, Verlander and Fulmer for a grand total of $65. It's more than I typically like to spend on starting pitching, yet I'm almost guaranteed to have the best pitching going into the season, possibly by a fair amount. Do I enjoy this competitive edge, sit back and get ready for opening day, or should I consider trading one of the three arms to exploit another team's desperation?

Paul Sporer

2:28

I like this a lot. I'm usually averse to keeping too much pitching bc of its inherent risk, but league dynamics are important and you've outlined a scenario where I'd gladly keep all three. Now if a trade opens up to really help the squad, you entertain it, but Plan A is keeping them, IMO

Larry

2:28

How are you handling Michael Fulmer in keeper leagues? Does he have top-10 potential in fantasy, or are we talking about someone more likely to settle into the 15-30 range in fantasy SP rankings in the future?

Paul Sporer

2:30

Much more 25-40 range right now, as opposed to top 10. He could spike some top 10 seasons, but he was 29th on ESPN's Player Rater after this excellent season and I'm not sure I'd project him to get a lot better this year. I think the skills will remain firm, w/an ERA more in the 3.30-3.60 range

Ryan

2:30

No SP guide this year? Paul! What do we get for beating you last year?

Paul Sporer

2:30

Oh man, I totally forgot about that. Hit me on twitter.

Tony

2:30

How much would you pay for Khris Davis in an 10-team $260 AL-only league?

Paul Sporer

2:33

like $24ish?

Zach

2:33

Hey Paul!

Paul Sporer

2:33

Hey Zach!

Brad

2:33

Good article by Brad Johnson about Dahl but I don't see a minors stint to start season is happening? What do you think? Thanks.

Paul Sporer

2:34

It was worth at least mentioning so we're not gobsmacked if it does happen, but I agree that it's an unlikely scenario, IMO. I still love Dahl out in Coors.

JayB

2:34

Hi Paul, I'm in a deep 12-team H2H "keep forever" league. Which side would you want for now and the future?

12 team H2H dynasty trade - Side A trades Hanley - Side B trades Brantley+Zobrist....which side do you want and why? IF, Brantley comes back healthy does that change your mind?

Paul Sporer

2:35

If Brantley comes back health, it's easily that side, but that's a major concern right now which certainly balances the scales on this one. I'm open to taking the risk w/the 2 guys, but I think I'd PREFER Hanley by a tick or two as of this moment

Sheila

2:35

Can you name some American relievers you currently like as sleepers for future saves in 2017?

Paul Sporer

2:37

Matt Bush, Sean Doolittle, Cam Bedrosian, Nate Jones, Brad Boxberger, Trevor May

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