JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Larry David

3:04

Hey Sporer. I'm torn on this one because I love both players. In a 14tm points keeper league where I already have the positions covered, I have been offered A. Espinoza for my Albies. Pitcher prospects always worry me but I feel like the reward could be bigger with Espinoza. Thanks man.

Paul Sporer

3:06

I think your reasoning is in line, but I don't think Espinoza's upside is SO much higher that I'd forego Albies for him. Yes, he could become an ace, but Albies could be a high average speed asset at a tough position to fill. I think I'd stand firm w/Ozzie

Bautista will be a Blue Jay

3:06

At what point does Troy Tulowitzki become undervalued? Based on his early draft position, am I wrong to think he's shaping up to be a solid draft day target, assuming the trend continues?

Paul Sporer

3:08

I'm with you: http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/early-adp-thoughts-second-base-shortstop/ -- It's a little jarring to see him in the 11th, but at the same time I get it. I think he's worth the gamble, especially if you miss out on the frontline SS. Hell, in the 11th, even a mediocre season is fine, but there's a chance... a CHANCE... he stays healthy and just shows vintage Tulo for a year

Minnesota Twinkie

3:08

I'm really torn on Byron Buxton right now. Half of me wants to stay clear of him at all costs, and the other half wants to own him in all formats. Where does Paul stand on BB?

Paul Sporer

3:11

I think he's going to be too expensive for me on draft day. He's already a top-150 pick (http://hosted.stats.com/mlb/adp.asp?pos=OF) and we're just getting started on baseball 2017. Heaven forbid he has a big spring, it'd be game over for sure, his price will soar. I lean closer to avoiding right now. September was great and while I don't discount Septembers quite as much as others, it's still just one month

Sonny

3:11

What kind of fantasy value does Blackmon have if he's traded? Thinking about moving him before the draft in a dynasty, his keeper spot would be replaced w either Archer or K Seager

Paul Sporer

3:18

I think he'd lose a lot of value in the market, though I personally believe he can hang outside of Coors. He'd backslide some bc Coors is so great, but his road work would likely improve (though he dominated on the road in '16)

Chuck

3:18

First year player draft: Aledmys Diaz or Ryon Healy? Thanks.

Paul Sporer

3:18

leaning Diaz

Brad

3:19

14 team obp league roto . Would you rather draft a 1b who hits 32 homers with 353 obp or 1b who hits 27 homers with 378 obp? Runs + RBI are equal. Sb are negligible. Thank you!

Paul Sporer

3:21

Feel like the 25 points of OBP is worth more than 5 HRs. If the better OBP guy is consistently better in OBP, then I'd rather bet on that, especially because he could easily match the homer count

Moltar

3:22

How much of your budget is too much to devote to one player? In my points league Kershaw is up over $70 of my $300 budget, and is gonna be over $80 for next season. It's a points league so he can and does win me matchups on his own, and similar pitchers go for big numbers in auction (Bumgarner got bid up to $61 last season). But at what point is it too much?

Paul Sporer

3:24

He is no doubt the best SP going, but one thing we're not great at is determining when the SP is going to start the inevitable decline phase. I'm not here to tell you I think Kershaw will in 17, but he did miss time with a back. It's almost always injury that gets a pitcher anyway and we saw one last year. When you're getting nearly $20 in separation, I think it's too much. I'd rather bet on the other aces at $15-20 cheaper even acknowledging how great Kersh is.

Rated Rookie

3:24

Marcus Stroman or Lucas Giolito worth a 16th round pick in a 11-team, 23-man roster, keep-forever league? Which is the better pick?

Paul Sporer

3:26

It's Stroman. He's shown way more... mainly bc Giolito hasn't shown anything of merit on the MLB level yet. Now he's changing orgs and leagues. I think Giolito is gonna need a year or two ramp up. I was among those exceedingly high on Giolito, dreaming of how the 75-80 grade fastball would decimate the league, but he showed a 55 fastball in his limited time last year and the offspeed wasn't enough to help the degraded fastball. Keep in mind, he'll be just 22, so even if he takes 2 up and down years here, he'll be 24 in '19 and we'll still have plenty of reason to hype him. But for now, it's Stroman

Steve

3:26

Which of these velo spikers are you buying most? Robbie Ray or James Paxton? sub 4, 200 K for both?

Paul Sporer

3:27

Buying Paxton most, but coming around on Ray a bit. Going to do more research into him this weekend, in fact. I just trust Paxton's talent a little more, though in fairness, he doesn't have a 200 K season like Ray. Paxton needs to show health, while Ray needs to show skill improvement. I'll take my shot on Paxton ahead of Ray

Looking for Cheap MI

3:27

Jorge Polanco strikes me as a great $1-$2 flier next year, at the very least in an AL-only. What say you?

Paul Sporer

3:28

I'm OK with that. He's not blowing the doors off of anything, but he's not a bad $1 flier

Traps McGee

3:28

Mitch Haniger might be my favourite 2017 sleeper right now. Are you buying shares?

Paul Sporer

3:29

I am buying some shares. I was turned onto him after the trade when he got some glowing reports so I dove deeper and I see where it's coming from. I think he has a shot to do some good stuff with SEA

Micah Johnson

3:29

Do I get 400 ABs in ATL?

Paul Sporer

3:31

Ehhhh, I don't think so. Not without injury, of course. But for now, I'm betting on Sean Rodriguez getting a lot of 2B time.

Childish Gambino

3:31

Who's the closer for the Reds and Twins come opening day?

Paul Sporer

3:33

Raisel Iglesias for Cincy and I actually think Trevor May is gonna nab that Minny job

Hack Wilson

3:33

6x6 with OBP and QS. I can keep 5 and I am pretty locked in on 9th rd Machado, 12th rd Darvish, 22nd rd Pollock. Have to pick 2 from Cole (10), JD Mart (14), Gary Sanchez (8), Alex Reyes (15), Velasquez (25) and Nola (25). Starting pitching has gone very early in this league the past 2 years.

Paul Sporer

3:34

I think I'd just stack the hitting with JD and Sanchez, then crush pitching in the early rounds. There are some keepable SPs in that group, but none that I'm doing backflips for right now

BranFlakes

3:34

I've seen Greinke ranked ~SP20 range. Does that seem high for an SP that was tough to start in home games? Do you see a rebound this year?

Paul Sporer

3:38

I've got him top 25. He really struggled early on at home, but I think he started to figure it out. I can totally see him rebounding

Fantasy Man

3:38

Would you move Shelby Miller for Yasmani Grandal and Ty Blach in a standard league.

Paul Sporer

3:38

I sure would

Bones

3:39

Rank these keepers in an 11-team, 26-man roster, $280 auction league: Beltre $25, C. Santana $10, Tanaka $13, Quintana $8, M. Bradley $6 and R. Hill $5. Thank you, sir.